Saturday, 16 March, 2002
IMF: Improving Global Economy Reduces Risk of Financial
Crisis
Barry Wood 15
Mar 2002 Washington
 
The International
Monetary Fund says an improving global economy is prompting a recovery in world
financial markets and reducing the risk of financial crisis. The IMF has begun
to issue regular assessments of global financial stability.
Gerd Hausler, the
German banker who heads the IMF's new capital market division, says the world
economy is recovering from the shock of September 11 and economic downturn.
"The recovery we see on a weekly basis almost stronger and stronger is good
news for us. We all like to see it and hear it. But not, by the way, not just
for the outlook of mature markets but also for emerging markets the outlook has
improved," he said.
The IMF is more
closely monitoring financial markets in order to try to avert a repeat of the
Asian financial crisis of 1997/1998 where contagion spread from one market to
another. Mr. Hausler is gratified that Argentina's default on its foreign debt
in December did not have a similar contagion effect. "We know from experience
that when there is a country having serious financial difficulty, to say the
least, when this comes very suddenovernight almostfinancial market participants
become rather more nervous as opposed to the case of Argentina where the
problems were mounting in a fairly slow way," he said. "So this was a problem
and a default that many people could see coming."
Among other potential
problems, Mr. Hausler identified high levels of debt in America and Europe and
weakness in Japan's banking system.
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