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COMMENTARY -- WAR -- (the news is directly below):

You have gone back in time and are standing in the midst of a lush ancient forest. You hear and see some large vegetarian dinosaurs feeding on the moist soft leaves of brush and trees. You also see skulking about like a cat after a mouse, other smaller dinosaurs with a lighter build about them trying to catch and eat even smaller dinosaurs. You also see small dinosaurs feeding on the vegetation. Suddenly you hear a loud screech which terrifies every creature in this setting and sends them running for fear. The screech is coming from a large version of the lighter built and fast moving dinosaur with teeth designed to rip and tear other animal flesh. It quickly moves up on the large vegetarian. It lacks the weight of the vegetarian it is pursuing but has more speed and agility. It's massive and powerful jaws are set into motion as it lunges upon the vegetarian and immediately draws blood as it rips and tears away at a vital spot. The vegetarian tries to defend itself by using its heavy tail to whack the aggressor but it was too slow this time in defending itself and it quickly weakened because of pain and loss of blood. Dizzy and in weakness it dropped to the ground and took its last breath. The aggressor ruthlessly tore away at the most tasty spots and then left the carcass for scavengers.

In the natural world this story describes the "food chain" and the "predatory" character of those creatures at the top of the food chain. The predatory behavior is driven by hunger and the instinct of the predator to feed and care for it's young. Although all animals have some kind of reasoning capability their instincts most often prevail and their reasoning is subordinate to these instincts to make them more effective at surviving.

How does this story relate to war? Is war wrong? Is war necessary? What is accomplished by war?

Mankind is to be above the animals, that is he should be exercising his reasoning capabilities over his instincts. But mankind often does not do that. Tribal behavior is something like wolf pack behavior. There is a kind of civilized order within the pack but anything outside the pack is considered fair game. There is usually a pack leader. In many ways, the societies and cultures and communities of mankind are like the pack where the reasoning capabilities of the individuals in the pack and the consensus of the pack is directed at serving the primitive instincts of survival.

Although man is more technically capable as he sits atop the food chain, many of the nations, societies, cultures, and communities of man are more predatory in character with leaders that know how to control the pack and maintain their control over the pack. If allowed, these predatory packs of mankind will act just like the predatory dinosaur. No amount of talk or reasoning will prevent the attack because the overall social behavior is predatory and reason is used to make the predatory behavior more successful. The only defense against such predators is to be both prepared and more capable if attacked. But often a defensive posture will fail as it did with the vegetarian dinosaur which was no threat to the other dinosaurs. Many animal packs that are vegetarian adopt defensive and preventative postures as a pack to minimize any predatory attack on members within the vegetarian pack. Buffalo, cattle, and many other animals do this.

But only mankind has two things the animals don't have. Man is smart enough to anticipate a predatory attack and respond in a defensive manoeuvre of defense to disable or kill the predatory enemy before the "screech" of death is heard. Man has the means and abilities to develop sophisticated weaponry. Compare this weaponry to the teeth of the attacking dinosaur and the tail of the vegetarian dinosaur.

But if a society or community of man is not aware of such dangers by other predatory type societies and communities then it peacefully and obliviously eats, drinks, sleeps, reproduces, plays, and in other ways occupies itself. When the "screech" of impending death is heard it may be too late. This is especially true if the predatory society has technological superiority and readiness to use that technology in an aggressive manner. This susceptibility scenario is also true if a society or community of man has been deceived into thinking that the predators are their friends or that arbitration, deals, and discourse will stop the aggression. Nothing will stop the predatory nation or community from its behavior other than its own destruction. A predatory human or human society is far more committed to violent aggression than is a predatory animal seeking a prey for a source of food. A predator is ruthless and uncaring whether it be a dinosaur, a wolf, or man. The "whimper" (or dialog to prevent aggression) that precedes death is understood by the predator as victory and the prey can be savaged. There are those that feel that a kind of social remedial exercise involving discourse, and various other forms of reward and penalty administered against the predatory society, by some powerful majority, will cause such predatory communities to change. This is foolishness as long as the pack leader remains leader. The leaders drive the communities. This is true even in western democratic nations. Sometimes leaders reflect the views of the community that elected them and perhaps leaders exploit the community that elected them.

When leaders have control of the key social institutions they can use these institutions to brain wash the community as a whole. If leaders don't have control of the key social institutions then new potential pack leaders can use these institutions to brain wash the community and thereafter supplant the pack leader. For example, often the educational institutions are infiltrated with authority figures that have a profound influence on those they teach. So it is not unusual in just about every society to see social discontent first voiced by universities and institutions of higher learning. The so called media in the form of newspapers, magazines, radio and TV industry, the publishing industry, and the movie industry are powerful means of brainwashing a society and re-engineering the "average" social mentality. A third category is the religious institutions, seminaries, and related organizations. Whoever controls the content of these institutions inevitably controls the pack mentality. Laws and government are derived from this mentality. As the mentality changes so also do the laws and inclinations of government.

As long as the average human being allows himself or herself to be herded along in a pack type social environment there will be predatory societies that feed on the other societies. They will skulk about and wait for their moment. They will form unholy and wicked alliances with each other only to eventually turn on one another. War in this context simply realigns those at the top of the food chain. War is for the purpose of establishing different leaders, it rarely occurs for the purpose of true peace and prosperity directed from a global perspective. Although the word peace is used a lot today its meaning varies depending upon who uses it. Peace as used by world leaders means the establishment of their objectives at the cost of their opponents. World leaders shake each others hands in such deceptive gestures of peace. It is a paradox. It is a horrible dilemma. If any society disarms, adopts arbitration and dialog to effect change then they will be perceived as manipulatable through that dialog. They will also be perceived by the potential aggressor as weak because they rely too heavily on a so called diplomatic solution to disputes. Meanwhile the predatory society or societies will take whatever gain they can through the dialog and when their moment comes, lunge, and with their mighty jaws and sharp teeth rip and tear away at the vulnerabilities of their prey.

Therefore, God must manipulate the devil who influences man towards predatory behavior. The devil incarnate is Anti-Christ. The Anti-Christ or Satan is any human being that uses their reasoning capabilities to serve their primitive instincts. By so doing they have opened up and turned over their mental "real estate" to the spiritual forces of darkness that bring only death. The spiritual force of evil is only able to influence the human mind through the mechanism of our primitive instincts for survival. If we lust and are preoccupied with the things and values of a world driven by such instincts then we have been deceived into a form of mental slavery that brings only hatred and death in its wake.

Jesus Christ is the answer. He is both an example of what we must be like as humans and he is the facilitator/mediator/interface whereby we can all know and experience the love/caring of God.

If you have any comments, questions, or concerns you can email this ministry at thilts@help-for-you.com

Click here for "Bruce Atchison Reports", World news bulletins on Christian persecution.

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Back to the WORLD NEWS

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Day by Day with VOA
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Car bomb rocks Colombia city
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BBC -- Thursday, 16 January, 2003, 17:30 GMT
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Bomb damage in Medellin, 16 January
The deadly bomb caused extensive damage
A car bomb in Colombia's second city, Medellin, has killed at least four people and injured about 30.

Troops arrest suspected rebels 15 JanuaryThe army made arrests in Medellin this week
The explosion took place in a car park near the regional prosecutor's office.

Medellin has in the past been the scene of clashes between Colombia's left-wing rebels and right-wing paramilitaries.

There have been no claims of responsibility for Thursday's attack - but the authorities say it could have been a response to police raids against suspected rebels in the city.

One of those killed in the explosion may have been the driver of the vehicle, police say.

Security operation

Medellin police chief Leonardo Gallego Castrillon has offered more than $170,000 for information leading to the arrest of those responsible.

President Alvaro UribeUribe has vowed to crush the rebels

The bomb attack came after troops and police conducted house-to-house raids in poor neighbourhoods of Medellin in recent days, arresting more than 60 suspected rebels.

Last week four people died in a car bomb explosion in eastern Colombia.

Thousands of people - mainly civilians - are killed each year in Colombia's long-running civil war.

President Alvaro Uribe - a former mayor of Medellin - has vowed to defeat illegal armed groups.

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Texas scientist held in plague scare
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BBC -- Thursday, 16 January, 2003, 06:48 GMT
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Black rat
The plague is spread by black rats
The Texas professor who allegedly told authorities that 30 vials of plague were missing when he knew they had been destroyed has been arrested, officials say.

Dr Thomas Butler, 61, headed a research programme at Texas Tech University Health Center in Lubbock to develop antibiotics to cure the disease.

He is reportedly charged with making false statements to the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI).

We have determined that there is no danger whatsoever

Lupe Gonzalez, FBI agent

The FBI was called in as part of a major security alert after university officials discovered that between 30 and 35 vials were unaccounted for.

Officials had said they were unsure if the vials had been stolen or merely misplaced.

President informed

The White House was informed, and experts from the Center for Disease Control were called in immediately to join the investigation, together with dozens of FBI agents.

But on Wednesday the FBI accounted for the missing vials.

The FBI did not provide any other details, saying only that an investigation was still under way.

But Lupe Gonzalez, the FBI special agent in charge of the investigation has been quick to calm the public.

"We have determined that there is no danger whatsoever," he said.

'Black Death'

Plague caused huge epidemics in the Middle Ages, notably the Black Death that wiped out up to a third of the population in Europe.

But nowadays it can be treated with antibiotics, provided it is caught in its early stages.

It is an infectious disease caused by a bacterium named Yersinia pestis.

People usually become infected after being bitten by a flea which lives on rats and carries the bug.

The typical sign of the most common form of human plague is a swollen and very tender lymph gland in the neck.

This is known as a bubo - hence the name bubonic plague.

Other symptoms include fever, chills, headache, and extreme exhaustion.

Plague can also take two other forms - pneumonic plague, when the bacteria are inhaled, and septicemic plague, which is a rare blood infection.

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German growth at nine-year low
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BBC -- Thursday, 16 January, 2003, 09:20 GMT
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German factory
Business investment has slowed as sales have fallen
Germany's economic growth slowed to 0.2% last year, its lowest annual rate since the recession in 1993.

Growth slowed from 0.6% in 2001 and was well below the government's forecast of 0.5%.

"Overall economic development in Germany in 2002 was disappointing, as in previous years," Federal Statistics Office chief Johann Hahlen said in a statement.

Germany is the largest economy in the eurozone and risks dragging its peers into more sluggish growth.

The sorry state of the economy poses a real challenge to the newly elected centre-left government led by Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder.

And the threat of a US-led war against Iraq is likely to delay any hopes of a swift recovery.

Struggling firms

The meagre growth was almost entirely due to exports rather than strong local demand, the statement said.

"Declining demand in German firms affected not only their investment but their demand for goods from the rest of the world," Mr Hahlen said.

There was no figure yet available for growth in the last three months of the year, but it was expected to have been stagnant.

In 1993, the economy shrank by 1.1%

Telling-off

The figures also revealed the state of Germany's controversial budget deficit.

The deficit widened to 3.7% of economic output, well above the limit set in an agreement which underpins the euro.

The deficit ration was significantly higher than the 2.8% in 2001.

Germany has already been rapped by the European Commission for its failure to get its finances in order.

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Morocco warned over EU-US trade deals
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BBC -- Wednesday, 15 January, 2003, 13:27 GMT
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Moroccan meat market
Morocco hopes to increase meat exports to Europe
Morocco has been warned it must choose between a free trade deal with Europe or the US, but cannot have both.

"You cannot say you want a closer partnership with the EU and at the same time sign a free trade agreement with the US," French Foreign Trade Minister Francois Loos said after a two-day visit to Morocco.

The constraints with the US can be more difficult

Francois Loos
French Foreign Trade Minister
"You have to decide which one you choose," he said.

France is Morocco's largest trading partner.

On Tuesday during trade talks the EU called on Morocco to speed up agricultural reforms to allow it easier access to European markets.

The North African country's economy relies heavily on agriculture, which employs 40% of the 10 million-strong workforce and contributes about 20% of its $41bn gross domestic product.

Morocco is seeking better trade terms with the EU but is also due to start free trade agreement (FTA) talks with the US in Washington on 21 January.

Trade deals

In 1995, Rabat and Brussels signed an agreement to gradually dismantle trade barriers by 2012, but progress has been stalled over export quotas for Moroccan tomatoes.

The agreement covers about 300 farm products ranging from cereals to milk and meat.

The EU accounts for two thirds of Morocco's foreign trade.

Morocco, a former French colony and staunch US ally, would be the second Arab country after Jordan to sign a FTA with Washington.

"Caution! The constraints with the US can be more difficult," Mr Loos warned.

Rainy days

The Moroccan economy is expected to grow by 5.5% this year, after good recent rainfalls, Finance and Privatisation Minister Fathallah Oualalou said on Tuesday.

Rain can make or break its economy and earlier forecasts had put growth at 4.5%

Last year the economy grew 4.4%, down from 6.5% in 2001.

On Saturday Jordan, Egypt, Tunisia and Morocco signed a Free Trade Zone agreement with the aim of improving trade with the EU.

It marked the implementation of the Agadir Declaration made at the Amman Arab summit in 2001

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War jitters send oil price soaring
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BBC -- Thursday, 16 January, 2003, 18:16 GMT
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Oil tanker
Increased supplies are little comfort for the US
Oil prices have surged to their highest level in more than two years, after chief UN weapons inspector Hans Blix gave a bleak assessment of the Iraq crisis.

The price of benchmark Brent North Sea crude oil for February delivery was up 38 cents at $31.60 per barrel in late deals, after earlier reaching $31.80.

Prices on the New York Mercantile exchange reached $33.55 per barrel in mid-day trading.

The jump in prices came as Mr Blix warned Iraq it must do more to avoid the threat of war.

Increased production

The price of oil has been climbing since Monday, despite an agreement by producers' cartel Opec to boost output.

Chief UN weapons inspector Hans BlixHans Blix says he is losing patience
Prices were initially pushed up by a cut in production in Venezuela because of a general strike.

But the possibility of a war with Iraq has added pressure.

The markets think the Opec production increase will not be enough to fill the gap.

Crucial deadline

The high cost of oil could threaten the global economy which is still struggling to show any significant growth.

Hans Blix sent jitters through the markets after he said he was becoming "very impatient" with Bhagdad.

Weapons inspectors were also reported to have found empty chemical warheads.

However, Mr Blix played down the significance of the 27 January target date for him to report to the United Nations Security Council.

That date has been seen by some as a crucial deadline after which the US could attack Iraq.

Opec meeting

But Mr Blix said he was nearly certain that the Security Council will ask him to produce a new and updated report on Iraq in February.

Iraq sells up to 2 million barrels per day on the international market, but that would be stopped by a war.

Meanwhile, oil shipments by Venezuela, which supplies 13% of US needs, are still down to about 20% of normal export levels.

Opec agreed to increase official production after an emergency meeting in Vienna.

Another Opec meeting is scheduled for 11 March.

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Belgium opens way for Sharon trial
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BBC -- Wednesday, 15 January, 2003, 19:28 GMT
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Bodies lie in the rubble of the Sabra
At least 800 people were killed at Sabra and Shatila
Belgian Prime Minister Guy Verhofstadt says he supports a change to the country's law on human rights, to allow the prosecution of Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon for alleged war crimes.

Mr Verhofstadt said on Tuesday he did not object to parliament broadening the scope of the law so that a war crime could be prosecuted "no matter where the person accused of the crime is located," Belgian media said.

Ariel SharonMr Sharon was defence minister at the time of the massacres

The country's 1993 "universal competence" law allows Belgian courts to try cases of alleged human rights abuses committed anywhere in the would.

But last June, a Belgian appeals court ruled that Mr Sharon could not be tried because crimes committed abroad could only prosecuted if the suspect was on Belgian territory.

The case had been brought by survivors of the killing by Lebanese Christian militiamen of hundreds of Palestinians at the Sabra and Shatila refugee camps near Beirut in 1982.

A 1983 Israeli investigation found that Mr Sharon - as defence minister of the Israeli forces - was indirectly but personally responsible for the massacres.

High-profile defendants

In the run-up to the 2001 Israeli elections, Mr Sharon expressed regret about the "terrible tragedy" at Sabra and Shatila - but rejected any responsibility.

Besides Mr Sharon, war crimes proceedings have been brought in Belgium against a number of world figures.

These include Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat, Cuban President Fidel Castro, Iraqi President Saddam Hussein and Ivory Coast President Laurent Gbagbo.

But those trials were suspended in June, after the Brussels appeals court ruling.

Correspondents say the country's Senate could take a vote to reverse this decision as early as next week.

So far, the only people tried under Belgium's controversial war crimes law are four Rwandans sentenced in 2001 for their role in the 1994 genocide of the country's Tutsi ethnic minority.

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Deadlock in Czech presidential race
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BBC -- Wednesday, 15 January, 2003, 23:22 GMT
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Vaclav Havel surrounded by deputies
Havel was given a standing ovation in parliament
The Czech parliament has failed to choose a successor to President Vaclav Havel after no candidate managed to secure enough votes in any of the three rounds of voting.

The race was whittled down to two men - Christian Democrat Petr Pithart and right-wing former prime minister Vaclav Klaus - when two other candidates were eliminated in the first round.

Vaclav KlausVaclav Klaus: Controversial ex-prime minister
But neither managed to win more than 50% of the votes in either the second or third round of voting.

The deadlock - unprecedented in Czech politics - means that the whole process will have to be repeated from the start - most likely in the next few weeks.

Mr Havel - a former jailed dissident who became president after the "Velvet Revolution" of 1989 - must step down in February, having already served two terms.

New candidates

Mr Klaus hailed his success in winning the most votes of any of the candidates on Wednesday and said he would be continuing his challenge in the next stage of voting.

FIRST ROUND VOTING
Upper chamber: Klaus 31, Pithart 35
Lower chamber: Klaus 92, Pithart 20
"I think that the results are definitely for me very positive... I think it's for me a good challenge to go on, to continue, because the support was visibly higher than for any other candidate," he told the BBC.

SECOND ROUND VOTING
Upper chamber: Klaus 32, Pithart 43
Lower chamber: Klaus 77, Pithart 46

It is not clear whether Mr Pithart will also represent the Christian Democrats in the next stage.

THIRD ROUND VOTING
Upper chamber: Klaus 33, Pithart 40
Lower chamber: Klaus 80, Pithart 44
Total votes cast 281: Klaus 113, Pithart 84, Spoilt ballots 84

The new election opens the way for new candidates to enter the fray.

The former Social Democrat Prime Minister Milos Zeman - a critic of current Social Democrat Prime Minister Vladimir Spidla - has been widely tipped to throw his hat into the ring, possibly splitting his party.

Farewell

Deputies hope to find a replacement for Mr Havel before his mandate runs out on 2 February.

Mr Havel, 66, told parliament in his farewell address before the vote that he had done his best in his office.

"Perhaps I managed well in some cases, perhaps I ruined something," he said. "In any way, my task is not to assess my work. This is and will be a matter for the public, politicians, journalists and, of course, political scientists and historians."

Mr Havel retained huge international standing after leading the country almost seamlessly into its post-communist era, but at home his popularity has waned over the years.

He has also been beset by serious health problems.

Contrasting characters

In the first two rounds of Wednesday, neither Mr Klaus nor Mr Pithart got a majority in each house - a requirement in the first stages of the election - so a third round was held.

But with 84 deputies choosing to vote for neither candidate, they were both deprived the 50% required.

Though Mr Klaus still has many fervent supporters, he is a controversial figure and has made many enemies in his 13 years in politics - among them Mr Zeman and Mr Havel.

As prime minister he presided over the privatisation of much of Czech industry following the end of communism and led the split from Slovakia in the face of opposition from Mr Havel.

Mr Pithart, who is Mr Havel's preferred successor, has his roots in the dissident movement of the 1970s, but is seen by critics as being too intellectual and rather indecisive and bland.

Miroslav Krizenecky, standing for the communists, and Jaroslav Bures, the candidate for the ruling Social Democrats, were knocked out in the first round.

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European press review
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BBC -- Thursday, 16 January, 2003, 06:30 GMT
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Reports on the Franco-German proposal for a dual presidency of the European Union dominate today's papers. In Russia, a daily exploits Chechen connection to the British ricin inquiry.

Franco-German motor

France's Le Monde says the plan for a dual presidency of the EU heralds "the revival of French-German co-operation as the motor of Europe" and "fresh evidence of the capacity of the two countries to find compromises to advance the construction of Europe".

But the paper points out that other EU members are "ambivalent" about the relationship.

"They note with regret that when there is lack of understanding between Paris and Berlin, Europe stagnates. But when Paris and Berlin agree they are denounced as a 'directorate' which confronts the rest with ready-made decisions," the paper says.

Berlin's Die Tageszeitung believes French President Jacques Chirac "has had his way".

A French president, who is today stronger than ever, has taken over the leadership of the EU

Die Tageszeitung

In a front-page editorial entitled "Paris leads the European Union", the paper concedes that, under the proposal, the president of the Commission would be strengthened.

"But who is interested in what Romano Prodi has to say about a war against Iraq," it asks, "when the future super president of the 27 heads of government - be it Blair, Chirac or Aznar - intervenes in the debate?"

"A French president who is today stronger than ever has taken over the leadership of the EU," the paper concludes.

Vienna's Die Presse agrees. In a commentary entitled "the leader of Europe", it says President Chirac used "the ruse of a dual presidency" to win Berlin over to his own plan for a powerful European president.

It argues that the proposal regarding the head of the Commission doesn't change much because such a president already exists. "He does not have much of a say - and probably never will," the paper concludes.

Castles in the air

And the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung wonders whether the debate might not turn out to be just hot air.

Perhaps the EU is building castles in the air

Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung

"Perhaps the EU is building castles in the air" the paper suggests.

"Enlargement to eventually more than 30 states," it argues, "would entail changes which it would not be possible to control with a constitution."

In Spain, Madrid's ABC says it is obvious that "the cohabitation of two presidents on a supposedly equal footing would not be viable" because "an institution as complex as a 25-member European Union will need a visible and recognized leadership."

El Pais, however, takes the opposite view and believes that the plan "deserves to be discussed in depth".

Two coexisting presidents at the head of the Council of Ministers and European Commission could help "maintain a basic institutional balance in the construction of this new political structure of a different kind that is the European Union", the paper says.

Cometh the hour...

Still in Madrid, El Mundo sees the plan as "a great opportunity" for Spain's Prime Minister, Jose Maria Aznar.

If Aznar ever dreamt of presiding over an enlarged Europe this is his great chance

El Mundo

"If Aznar ever dreamt of presiding over an enlarged Europe," the paper says, "this is his great chance".

The prime minister "will never see such a favourable set of circumstances as those likely to arise in a year-and-a-half's time", the daily says. However, it stresses, "he and he alone can make the decision to take the step towards which so many circumstances are pushing him".

...endeth the honeymoon

In Barcelona, El Periodico welcomes Mr Aznar's comment that the proposal is "worthy of consideration".

But the paper says the prime minister's "honeymoon" with Britain's Tony Blair "has waned somewhat" and he "ought to reconsider his options", because, "Paris and Berlin are a European beacon whose light is unavoidable".

Czech deadlock

Czech dailies assess the failure of the Czech parliament to elect a successor to outgoing President Vaclav Havel.

The result took everybody by surprise, the Mlada Fronta Dnes says.

Communist votes will be in high demand for each candidate. And this is the greatest paradox of all in the first so-called 'post-Havel' election

Hospodarske noviny

It notes that the election of Havel's successor is a symbolic end of the isolation of the Communist party, or KSCM in parliament. Everybody will now try to negotiate with them before the second election, the daily adds.

The Hospodarske Noviny agrees.

"Communist votes will be in high demand for each candidate. And this is the greatest paradox of all in the first normal so-called 'post-Havel' election of a Czech president".

Mr Havel was at the forefront of the popular anti-Communist revolt known as the Velvet Revolution in 1989.

Chechen connection

The death of a British policeman in the ricin inquiry is widely reported in the Russian press, with the broadsheet Izvestiya predicting that "an army of Islamist terrorists" could soon replace the IRA as the main killer of policemen in Britain.

Other dailies are searching for a link with events in their own part of the world.

"It is known that the North African terrorists arrested in London may have undergone training in the Pankisi Gorge," the troubled area between Chechnya and Georgia, the Komsomolskaya Pravda daily says.

It quotes the Georgian Security Ministry spokesman, Nika Laliashvili, as saying that "there were training camps for Chechen guerrillas and Arab mercenaries in the gorge until February 2002, where they were learning explosives and poisons, including ricin".

But the Rossiyskaya Gazeta says Mr Laliashvili "cannot confirm reports of any links between the guerrillas in the Pankisi Gorge and the individuals arrested in London on suspicion of producing ricin."

The European press review is compiled by BBC Monitoring from internet editions of the main European newspapers and some early printed editions.

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France's new baby boom
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BBC -- Thursday, 16 January, 2003, 11:28 GMT
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De Froberville family
Big families pay no income tax and lower rents


French wines may have gone out of fashion - and the French football team may have gone out in the first round of the World Cup - but there's still one area where France is in a league of its own: making babies.

Extra leisure time means extra time to make more babies

While birth rates in the rest of Europe are in decline, French women are having more children every year.

The average number of children per woman is now 1.9.

Part of the reason for this may be cultural, but there are other important factors, including a financial one.

Added benefits

The French state classifies a couple with three or more children as a "famille nombreuse" a status which opens the door to all kinds of benefits.

Benoit De FrobervilleBenoit De Froberville: The deal is pretty good
Take father of four, Benoit De Froberville. He lives with his wife, Nicole, and their children - Gonzague, Solene, Armelle and Aurore - in the central French town of Tours.

Although Benoit is a banker, he doesn't pay a euro in income tax, has government help with his rent and a 40% reduction on train fares.

Nicole, meanwhile, has spent the past six years on state-funded parental leave and is guaranteed her job back when she wants.

"Of course we don't have children to make money", Benoit jokes, "but the deal is pretty good. I think other Europeans are looking at us and thinking that this is a good way."

His wife believes that another important factor is France's 35-hour working week.

"My husband has plenty of free time to spend with the children - it means he can enjoy their company and wants to have more of them," Nicole says.

"It's totally different to a father who only sees his kids in the evening or at the weekends when all he wants to do is rest."

She didn't say it, although others have, but extra leisure time also means extra time to make more babies.

Nurse shortage

But there is a flip side to this combined baby and leisure boom, as I discovered at the Saint Vincent De Paul Hospital in Paris.

The more children that are born, the better it is for our pension system and for our economy, in general

Christian Jacob, French Family Minister
The head of the maternity unit there, Professor Michel Tournaire, showed me a ward, devoid of both patients and beds.

It's a strange and worrying development, at a time when more and more women are waiting to give birth.

The problem, as the professor sees it, is simple. The shorter working week has led to a shortage of nurses.

The state is feeling the strain in other areas.

BabyThe babies of today are tax payers of tomorrow
The logical consequence of the baby boom is a school children boom.

It means that nursery and primary schools now find themselves having to cope with far greater classroom numbers than expected.

So will France's right-wing government, which promised a leaner, more efficient economy when it came to power last year, be cutting back on benefits and calling for couples to tone down their reproductive zeal?

Not a bit of it. Not only does the administration pride itself on being family-friendly, but its Family Minister, Christian Jacob, wants to encourage an even higher birth rate.

"Of course the state must step in and help" he says.

"The more children that are born, the better it is for our pension system and for our economy, in general".

And so the baby boomers of today are the tax payers and consumers of tomorrow.

France hopes that investing in them now will pay dividends.

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Rights court to hear Chechen lawsuits
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BBC -- Thursday, 16 January, 2003, 16:13 GMT
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Chechen refugees in Ingushetia
Civilians bear the brunt of the conflict
The European Court of Human Rights has announced that for the first time it will hear lawsuits brought forward by Chechens against the Russian army.

Bodies of Chechen militants near Grozny in January 2000An estimated 20,000 Chechens have died in the conflict
The landmark ruling paves the way for the Strasbourg-based judges to hear six Chechens argue that Moscow has breached the European convention on human rights it is a signatory to.

The cases accepted by the court on Thursday centre on allegations of torture, summary execution and indiscriminate bombing of civilians in 1999 and 2000.

Russia has been waging what it terms an "anti-terrorist campaign" against a separatist insurgency in Chechnya since October 1999.

Although it has often been criticised over human rights abuses in the province, it is thought the court's decision will nonetheless shock Moscow, which has recently enjoyed a less critical attitude from Western governments.

The Russian authorities are likely to see the court ruling as interference in the country's internal affairs.

Co-operation required

Lawyers for the Russian Government said the complaints should not be heard by the rights court, which usually considers cases only after all domestic avenues have been exhausted.

Russian troops in ChechnyaRussia maintains a large military presence in Chechnya
But the judges rejected this, arguing that criminal investigations opened by the Russian authorities had closed without identifying the culprits.

There are about 100 Chechen complaints still to be investigated by the court, whose decisions are binding.

But their outcome depends on Moscow's co-operation in allowing investigations, including fact-finding missions to Chechnya.

Thousands dead

In its annual report, the US-based Human Rights Watch has described Russia's war in Chechnya as Europe's most intense human rights crisis.

The report, released on Tuesday, said any positive steps at reform in Russia were eclipsed by continued atrocities committed in Chechnya.

Russia has fought two wars to rein in the breakaway republic.

About 20,000 Chechen guerrillas - and 4,500 Russians - have died in the conflict so far.

Russia describes the rebels as terrorists.

Signs that international terrorism is becoming more active in European countries have been interpreted by Russian officials as proof that their policies are correct, a BBC correspondent says.

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IVF offers human cloning warning
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BBC -- Thursday, 16 January, 2003, 00:00 GMT
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Embryo
Imprinting makes sure the embryo develops correctly
IVF babies are more likely to suffer from a rare gene disorder and scientists say the finding is another good reason not to make human clones.

Beckwith-Wiedemann syndrome is a rare condition which causes too much growth, kidney abnormalities and a raised chance of tumours.

The syndrome is the result of errors in a process called "imprinting" - which happens when the DNA from mother and father are combined when the embryo is first conceived.

Every embryo is a combination of two sets of genes - one from its mother and one from its father.

It's not unreasonable to think that human cloning would put children at risk of this condition

Dr Wolf Reik, University of Cambridge
However, certain genes perform differently, and are more or less active, depending on whether they come from the father or the mother.

This "imprinting" is a key control which makes sure the foetus develops correctly while it is in the womb.

Scientists believe that fertility techniques such as IVF and ICSI - in which a single sperm is injected into an egg - may be disrupting this imprinting process.

Although in the vast majority of cases the baby would be healthy, in some cases the problem would have an effect on their future health.

Higher risk

The researchers from the Universities of Birmingham and Cambridge looked at 149 babies diagnosed with the syndrome.

They found that six out of the 149 had been conceived via IVF or ICSI, or 4%.

The proportion of babies born using IVF in the UK is only 1%, meaning that IVF babies are more likely to fall prey to the disorder than those conceived naturally.

Dr Wolf Reik, from the Babraham Institute at the University of Cambridge, said: "The genes themselves are not necessarily any different but imprinting controls how active the gene is.

"If the imprinting goes wrong, control is lost, and this can result in unregulated growth.

"Imprinting is set when the sperm or egg is produced and we believe that IVF and ICSI interfere with the process just after fertilisation, increasing the risk that a child will develop Beckwith-Wieemann syndrome."

Clone damage

However, he said that the result was bad news for supporters of human reproductive cloning.

There is significant evidence that cloning techniques also interfere with imprinting.

In animal experiments, many foetuses spontaneously miscarry at various stages of pregnancy, and scientists are still not sure why, although miscarriage is often a safety mechanism that halts a foetus which is not developing correctly.

Dr Reik said: "Evidence is emerging that imprinting is also faulty in cloned animals so it's not unreasonable to think that human cloning would put children at risk of this condition and others like it."

Sir Paul Nurse, the chief executive of Cancer Research UK, said: "Cancer Research UK is opposed to reproductive cloning and this research highlights just one of the severe problems that may result."

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Chemical warheads seized in Iraq
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BBC -- Thursday, 16 January, 2003, 18:41 GMT
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US marines board assault ship in San Diego, California
The US military build-up is continuing
United Nations weapons inspectors in Iraq say they have found a dozen empty chemical warheads while searching an ammunition storage depot.

The warheads, which would be used to carry chemical warfare agents, are currently being examined by experts, a UN spokesman said.

"The warheads were in excellent condition and were similar to ones imported by Iraq during the late 1980s," said Hiro Ueki.

He did not elaborate on the significance of the find, but the UN office in Baghdad has since told the BBC that they did not consider the discovery to be a "smoking gun" at the present time.

Iraq has insisted throughout the current crisis that it does not possess chemical weapons.

The US has threatened military action against Iraq if the country is found to have breached a recent UN resolution which obliged Baghdad to list all its weapons and provide unfettered access to arms inspectors.

Warning

The find comes shortly after the chief weapons inspector Hans Blix called on Iraq to do more to substantiate its claims that it has destroyed banned weapons, or risk a US-led war.

Iraq must do more than they have done so far

Hans Blix
Chief UN inspector
Mr Blix was speaking in Brussels where he briefed EU officials on the progress of his inspection teams.

Mr Blix - who is going to Baghdad at the weekend - said the message he was sending to Iraqi leaders was that "the situation is very tense and very dangerous".

UN inspectors also made surprise visits to two private homes, interviewing Iraqi nuclear scientists.

They took physicist Faleh Hassan to inspect what appeared to be a man-made mound of earth and thoroughly searched the home of nuclear scientist Shaker El-Jibouri.

Calling it a "provocative operation", he said inspectors looked at everything in his home, "including beds and clothes" as well as research papers.

It was the first time inspectors had gone to private homes.

General Hossam Mohammed Amin General Amin did not criticise the inspectors
Iraq's chief liaison officer to the inspectors said the two men were not on a list of scientists given to the United Nations.

But General Hossam Mohammed Amin said that the inspectors were doing their jobs and had behaved properly.

"All is going well so far," another top aide to Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein said at the same news conference.

"There are some complaints here and there and there but we expect to resolve [them] on Sunday," Amir al-Saadi said, referring to the upcoming visit of Mr Blix to Baghdad.

Concern

"We feel that Iraq must do more than they have done so far in order to make this a credible avenue," Mr Blix told reporters in Brussels earlier in the day.

He said Iraq had to either provide evidence that it had destroyed the suspected weapons of mass destruction - such as archives and budgets - or surrender what they might have for destruction under supervision.

IRAQI MATERIEL UNACCOUNTED FOR
Nearly four tons of VX nerve agents
Growth media for 20,000 litres of biological warfare agents
15,000 shells for use in biological warfare
6,000 chemical warfare bombs
Nuclear information

He said inspectors had found illegally-imported conventional weapons materials in Iraq, some dating from two years ago.

These were being examined to see whether they were destined for banned weapons programmes.

Supporting the chief inspector, EU foreign policy chief Javier Solana said war could still be averted and the responsibility was "basically on the side of Saddam Hussein".

The EU has made it plain that it does not want a war, the BBC's Chris Morris says, but there are clear divisions in its ranks.

President George W Bush is due to meet his main European ally, UK Prime Minister Tony Blair, on 31 January.

That is four days after Mr Blix submits his first report on inspections to the UN Security Council, which could be a possible trigger for military action.

'Important date'

President George Bush's spokesman Ari Fleischer said the submission of that report was "an important date".

"Beyond that, events will dictate timetables," he said on Thursday.

Mr Blix has sought to downplay the significance of 27 January, saying he expected the Council to demand another report in February.

KEY DATES
16 Jan - Chief UN inspector Hans Blix briefs EU
19 Jan - Blix meets top Iraqi officials in Baghdad
27 Jan - First full report on inspections presented to UN
29 Jan - UN discusses report
31 Jan - Bush meets Blair
15 Feb - Anti-war protests across Europe
27 Mar - Blix submits new report to UN


The US is reportedly increasing pressure on Mr Blix to scrap plans for another report on 27 March.

Thousands of UK and US troops are being deployed to the Gulf.

On Wednesday, the US formally asked for help from its allies in Nato in the event of a war.

But US Secretary of Defence Donald Rumsfeld said the request did not mean that a strike against Baghdad was imminent.

Russia role

Mr Blix is travelling to Baghdad with the head of the UN's nuclear watchdog, Mohamed ElBaradei.

We are concerned by the growing pressure being exerted on the international inspectors... by particular circles in Washington

Russian Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov
Mr ElBaradei has been visiting Russia where he received support for inspectors to be given several more months to complete the work.

Russian Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov has expressed concern about pressure being exerted on the inspectors by "particular circles in Washington".

Russia has sent a senior envoy to Iraq to seek to defuse the confrontation with Washington.

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Bananas could split for good
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BBC -- Thursday, 16 January, 2003, 11:28 GMT
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Banana
A treat for some, a staple for others
Edible bananas may disappear within a decade if urgent action is not taken to develop new varieties resistant to blight.

A Belgian scientist leading research into the fruit loved by millions, and a staple for much of the world's poor, has warned that diseases and pests are steadily encroaching upon crops.

One thing we can be sure of is that the Sigatoka won't lose in this battle

Emile Frison
plant pathologist
The problem is that the banana we eat is a seedless, sterile article which could slip the way of its predecessor which was wiped out by blight half a century ago.

But Dr Emile Frison, who heads the French-based International Network for the Improvement of Banana and Plantain (INIBAP), says the biotechnology and genetic manipulation it might take to save it could put off consumers with GM concerns.

The Cavendish banana now being eaten across the globe lacks genetic diversity, he argues in an article in New Scientist magazine, and its survival is threatened by:

  • Panama disease, caused by a soil fungus, which wiped out the Gros Michel variety in the 1950s
  • Black Sigatoka, another fungal disease which has reached global epidemic proportions
  • Pests invading plantations and farms in central America, Africa and Asia alike.

New Scientist compared the current threat to bananas to the potato blight which caused the devastating Irish famine of the 1840s.

GM fears

Fungicides are proving increasingly ineffective against the diseases, and black Sigatoka especially.

Favoured fruit
Bananas being sorted in Jamaica
First edible bananas date back 10,000 years to South-East Asia
Half a billion people in Africa and Asia depend on them as a staple food
One hybrid developed with great difficulty turned out to taste more like an apple
"As soon as you bring in a new fungicide, they develop resistance," Dr Frison said.

"One thing we can be sure of is that the Sigatoka won't lose in this battle."

A global consortium of scientists led by Dr Frison last year announced plans to sequence the genetic blueprint of the banana within five years.

They will focus on largely inedible wild bananas, which are full of hard seeds, since many of these are resistant to black Sigatoka.

But the team's work is being hampered by a lack of support from the large producers, who fear that consumers will not accept a GM banana.

The Belgian scientist, who is based in Montpellier in southern France, pointed out that the research would be directed towards bananas eaten in Africa, where consumption is up to 50 times greater than that in a nation like Great Britain.

"Work on the banana genome will be concentrated on finding ways to improve the varieties on which Africans depend for their survival, rather than the one you and I buy off supermarket shelves," he said.

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First Israeli blasts into space
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BBC -- Thursday, 16 January, 2003, 18:08 GMT
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Israeli men watch the launch from the Kennedy Space center
The launch dominated Israeli TV and newspaper headlines
The first ever Israeli has gone into space, with the successful launch of the space shuttle Columbia on Thursday.

Colonel Ilan Ramon, an Israeli fighter pilot, blasted off with six other crew members on a mission which will undertake a series of scientific experiments.

The most calm and relaxed person is Ilan

Rona Ramon, wife of Israeli astronaut
Extra security measures, including a large security cordon, sniffer dogs and swat teams, were brought in as Mr Ramon's presence, along with a delegation of 300 Israeli officials, heightened security fears.

The mission is carrying a special pressurised laboratory into space for 16 days of experiments, principally on microgravity.

Israeli excitement

Mr Ramon's wife and children were among those present for the launch.

ISRAEL'S FIRST ASTRONAUT
Ilan Ramon
Fought in 1973 Arab-Israeli War
Makes Israel 30th nation in space
Son of Holocaust survivor
Questions over space Sabbath

Mrs Ramon admitted to some nervousness and said she could not wait for the 16-day mission to be over, the Associated Press reported.

"I don't want to talk about fear. We're not talking about fear. I'm sure Nasa is doing everything that is possible not to take any risk and any chances," she said.

"The most calm and relaxed person is Ilan."

The launch has caused great excitement in Israel - dominating newspaper headlines and TV reports.

Although Mr Ramon is not particularly religious, as the first representative of the Jewish state in space, he said he would carry a Bible and eat only Kosher food.

Kennedy Space Center SWAT team members stand guard Extra security measures were brought in

His desire to keep the Sabbath on Saturday was a potential problem as the sun sets and rises several times a day in space.

However, a Florida rabbi ruled he should adhere to the same time as Houston, where Nasa Mission Control is based.

"This is such an exciting time for us... he makes us so proud," said Israel's ambassador to the United States, Danny Ayalon.

Extensive testing

Weather conditions were near perfect for the launch of flight STS-107, with a clear, cool morning.

The mission is dedicated purely to scientific experimentation as the shuttle will not be ferrying any parts to the growing International Space Station (ISS).

The crew of seven will work in shifts for 24 hours each day to complete an extensive programme of tests.

Spacehab, NasaThe shuttle's lab will test microgravity

However, the mission could be of great benefit to the ISS, as it will test a new technology which could enable the permanent recycling of water there.

The so-called Spacehab laboratory riding on the orbiter will be the venue for experiments on combustion in microgravity.

The scientists will also be looking at a number of experiments involving the compression of granular materials which may help improve construction techniques.

Many other experiments will examine physiological changes in the human body as a result of microgravity.

Cell cultures will be grown on the shuttle to see how these respond to the off-Earth environment.

Other projects, from students in several countries, involve examining the effects of spaceflight on spiders, silkworms, fish, bees and ants.

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Giant squid 'attacks French boat'
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BBC -- Wednesday, 15 January, 2003, 16:50 GMT
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Giant squid caught off Scotland ion January 2002
De Kersauson says his squid was three times as big
French sailors taking part in the round-the-world Jules Verne Trophy say they have come across one of the most elusive monsters of the sea - the giant squid.

We didn't have anything to scare off this beast [...] We weren't going to attack it with our penknives