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COMMENTARY -- WAR -- (click here for news directly below this
commentary):
You have gone back in time and are standing in the midst of a lush
ancient forest. You hear and see some large vegetarian dinosaurs feeding on the
moist soft leaves of brush and trees. You also see skulking about like a cat
after a mouse, other smaller dinosaurs with a lighter build about them trying
to catch and eat even smaller dinosaurs. You also see small dinosaurs feeding
on the vegetation. Suddenly you hear a loud screech which terrifies every
creature in this setting and sends them running for fear. The screech is coming
from a large version of the lighter built and fast moving dinosaur with teeth
designed to rip and tear other animal flesh. It quickly moves up on the large
vegetarian. It lacks the weight of the vegetarian it is pursuing but has more
speed and agility. It's massive and powerful jaws are set into motion as it
lunges upon the vegetarian and immediately draws blood as it rips and tears
away at a vital spot. The vegetarian tries to defend itself by using its heavy
tail to whack the aggressor but it was too slow this time in defending itself
and it quickly weakened because of pain and loss of blood. Dizzy and in
weakness it dropped to the ground and took its last breath. The aggressor
ruthlessly tore away at the most tasty spots and then left the carcass for
scavengers.
In the natural world this story describes the "food chain" and the
"predatory" character of those creatures at the top of the food chain. The
predatory behavior is driven by hunger and the instinct of the predator to feed
and care for it's young. Although all animals have some kind of reasoning
capability their instincts most often prevail and their reasoning is
subordinate to these instincts to make them more effective at surviving.
How does this story relate to war? Is war wrong? Is war necessary?
What is accomplished by war?
Mankind is to be above the animals, that is he should be
exercising his reasoning capabilities over his instincts. But mankind often
does not do that. Tribal behavior is something like wolf pack behavior. There
is a kind of civilized order within the pack but anything outside the pack is
considered fair game. There is usually a pack leader. In many ways, the
societies and cultures and communities of mankind are like the pack where the
reasoning capabilities of the individuals in the pack and the consensus of the
pack is directed at serving the primitive instincts of survival.
Although man is more technically capable as he sits atop the food
chain, many of the nations, societies, cultures, and communities of man are
more predatory in character with leaders that know how to control the pack and
maintain their control over the pack. If allowed, these predatory packs of
mankind will act just like the predatory dinosaur. No amount of talk or
reasoning will prevent the attack because the overall social behavior is
predatory and reason is used to make the predatory behavior more successful.
The only defense against such predators is to be both prepared and more capable
if attacked. But often a defensive posture will fail as it did with the
vegetarian dinosaur which was no threat to the other dinosaurs. Many animal
packs that are vegetarian adopt defensive and preventative postures as a pack
to minimize any predatory attack on members within the vegetarian pack.
Buffalo, cattle, and many other animals do this.
But only mankind has two things the animals don't have. Man is
smart enough to anticipate a predatory attack and respond in a defensive
manoeuvre of defense to disable or kill the predatory enemy before the
"screech" of death is heard. Man has the means and abilities to develop
sophisticated weaponry. Compare this weaponry to the teeth of the attacking
dinosaur and the tail of the vegetarian dinosaur.
But if a society or community of man is not aware of such dangers
by other predatory type societies and communities then it peacefully and
obliviously eats, drinks, sleeps, reproduces, plays, and in other ways occupies
itself. When the "screech" of impending death is heard it may be too late. This
is especially true if the predatory society has technological superiority and
readiness to use that technology in an aggressive manner. This susceptibility
scenario is also true if a society or community of man has been deceived into
thinking that the predators are their friends or that arbitration, deals, and
discourse will stop the aggression. Nothing will stop the predatory nation or
community from its behavior other than its own destruction. A predatory human
or human society is far more committed to violent aggression than is a
predatory animal seeking a prey for a source of food. A predator is ruthless
and uncaring whether it be a dinosaur, a wolf, or man. The "whimper" (or dialog
to prevent aggression) that precedes death is understood by the predator as
victory and the prey can be savaged. There are those that feel that a kind of
social remedial exercise involving discourse, and various other forms of reward
and penalty administered against the predatory society, by some powerful
majority, will cause such predatory communities to change. This is
foolishness as long as the pack leader remains leader. The leaders drive
the communities. This is true even in western democratic nations. Sometimes
leaders reflect the views of the community that elected them and perhaps
leaders exploit the community that elected them.
When leaders have control of the key social institutions they can
use these institutions to brain wash the community as a whole. If leaders don't
have control of the key social institutions then new potential pack leaders can
use these institutions to brain wash the community and thereafter supplant the
pack leader. For example, often the educational institutions are infiltrated
with authority figures that have a profound influence on those they teach. So
it is not unusual in just about every society to see social discontent first
voiced by universities and institutions of higher learning. The so called media
in the form of newspapers, magazines, radio and TV industry, the publishing
industry, and the movie industry are powerful means of brainwashing a society
and re-engineering the "average" social mentality. A third category is the
religious institutions, seminaries, and related organizations. Whoever controls
the content of these institutions inevitably controls the pack mentality. Laws
and government are derived from this mentality. As the mentality changes so
also do the laws and inclinations of government.
As long as the average human being allows himself or herself to be
herded along in a pack type social environment there will be predatory
societies that feed on the other societies. They will skulk about and wait for
their moment. They will form unholy and wicked alliances with each other only
to eventually turn on one another. War in this context simply realigns those at
the top of the food chain. War is for the purpose of establishing different
leaders, it rarely occurs for the purpose of true peace and prosperity directed
from a global perspective. Although the word peace is used a lot today its
meaning varies depending upon who uses it. Peace as used by world leaders means
the establishment of their objectives at the cost of their opponents. World
leaders shake each others hands in such deceptive gestures of peace. It is a
paradox. It is a horrible dilemma. If any society disarms, adopts arbitration
and dialog to effect change then they will be perceived as manipulatable
through that dialog. They will also be perceived by the potential aggressor as
weak because they rely too heavily on a so called diplomatic solution to
disputes. Meanwhile the predatory society or societies will take whatever gain
they can through the dialog and when their moment comes, lunge, and with their
mighty jaws and sharp teeth rip and tear away at the vulnerabilities of their
prey.
Therefore, God must manipulate the devil who influences man
towards predatory behavior. The devil incarnate is Anti-Christ. The Anti-Christ
or Satan is any human being that uses their reasoning capabilities to serve
their primitive instincts. By so doing they have opened up and turned over
their mental "real estate" to the spiritual forces of darkness that bring only
death. The spiritual force of evil is only able to influence the human mind
through the mechanism of our primitive instincts for survival. If we lust and
are preoccupied with the things and values of a world driven by such instincts
then we have been deceived into a form of mental slavery that brings only
hatred and death in its wake.
Jesus Christ is the answer. He is both an example of what we must
be like as humans and he is the facilitator/mediator/interface whereby we can
all know and experience the love/caring of God.
If you have any comments, questions, or concerns you can email
this ministry at thilts@help-for-you.com
Click
here for "Bruce Atchison Reports", World news bulletins on Christian
persecution.
Visit the... Overcomer on line Study Bible
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are now being added - Click on::
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President Bush wants a second U.N. resolution
authorizing the use of force against Iraq if it does not cooperate with
inspectors searching for weapons of mass destruction.
President Bush
says the "game is over," that it is time for the U.N. Security Council take
action against Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein because he is violating U.N.
resolutions demanding that he disarm.
"Saddam
Hussein was given a final chance. He is throwing that chance away. The dictator
of Iraq is making his choice. Now the nations of the Security Council must make
their own," he said.
Mr. Bush says
it is a moment of truth for the United Nations which he says must renew its
purpose as a source of stability and demonstrate that it is prepared to meet
future challenges to its authority.
"Now the
Security Council will show whether its words have any meaning. Having made its
demands, the Security Council must not back down when those demands are defied
and mocked by a dictator," he said.
The president
called for a second resolution restating U.N. demands, but said that resolution
will have little meaning without the will to act.
"The United
States would welcome and support a new resolution which makes clear that the
Security Council stands behind its previous demands. Yet resolutions mean
little without resolve," he said. "And the United States along with a growing
coalition of nations is resolved to take whatever action is necessary to defend
ourselves and disarm the Iraqi regime."
With more than
100,000 troops in the region and more on the way, Mr. Bush says he is ready to
use force against Iraq if the U.N. does not act. "Saddam Hussein has the
motive, and the means and the recklessness and the hatred to threaten the
American people. Saddam Hussein will be stopped," he said.
Mr. Bush says
Americans say what terrorists could do with four airplanes in the September
2001 attacks in New York and Washington. He says the country will not wait to
see what terrorists could do with chemical, biological, or nuclear weapons.
Previously,
White House officials have said a second resolution would be "desirable but not
mandatory" ahead of U.S. military action.
The president
Thursday again sought to rally broader support for a second resolution by
saying that the danger that Saddam Hussein poses reaches around the world as
Iraq is helping terrorists who have planned attacks in France, Spain, Italy,
Germany, Russia, and the Republic of Georgia.
Mr. Bush says
there is no doubt that the Iraqi leader will now engage in what he calls
"another round of empty concessions and transparently false denials" in a
"last-minute game of deception."
The president
spoke following a meeting with Secretary of State Colin Powell who made the
administration's case against Iraq at the Security Council Wednesday.
Iraq says it
does not have weapons of mass destruction and dismissed Secretary Powell's
report as containing incorrect allegations and unnamed sources.
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. End of article 1
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. Deadly flu virus ravages DR
Congo . |
. BBC -- Thursday, 6 February, 2003, 17:14
GMT x x |
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|
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By
Mark Dummett BBC, Kinshasa
|
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A deadly
flu epidemic has struck more than a million people and killed more than 100 in
Kinshasa, according to the Democratic Republic of Congo's health ministry.
The flu,
which was first reported in the Central African Republic in September, has now
been registered in four Congolese provinces, where authorities say it has
killed at least 2,000 people.
The head
of the epidemiology department at the Democratic Republic of Congo's ministry
of health says that more than a million people in Kinshasa, a city of six
million, are suffering from the flu.
Symptoms
include fever, headaches, painful limbs and a sore throat.
Dr Kebela
Ilunga said more than 100 people are believed to have died in the
city.
Woeful
condition
It has
been confirmed this week that it is the same flu strain that was first reported
in September in the northern Bosobolo health zone, and before then on the other
side of the Oubangiu river in the Central African Republic.
The flu has now spread to Kinshasa
|
Refugees,
rebel soldiers and traders are believed to have brought the virus into DR
Congo, where Health Minister Dr Mashako Mamba said, it has killed more than
2,000 people.
The vast
majority were infants and old people living in isolated and impoverished jungle
communities in the northern Equatuer Province, under the control of the rebel
Movement for the Liberation of Congo.
The war
has meant clinics and hospitals there are in a woeful condition, lacking both
doctors and medicines.
The health
ministry says the epidemic has now reached not only Kinshasa but also the
neighbouring provinces of Bandundu and Bas Congo.
Medecins
Sans Frontieres, which is supporting efforts in the capital to treat sufferers,
says flu has also been reported this week in neighbouring Congo-Brazzaville.
The health
ministry says this is the same strain which killed more than 700 people in
Madagascar last year, but believes that the worst is now over.
. End of article 2
.
. Zimbabwe witness 'a
fraudster' . |
. BBC -- Thursday, 6 February, 2003, 16:45
GMT x x |
.
Tsvangirai says he is
being framed
Lawyers defending Zimbabwe's opposition leader Morgan Tsvangirai on
treason charges have accused the key prosecution witness of being a serial
fraudster.
They say
that Canada-based political consultant Ari Ben-Menashe video-taped a meeting
with Mr Tsvangirai as part of a government plot to stifle the opposition.
Ari Ben-Menashe: A former Israeli intelligence officer
|
Mr Tsvangirai and two colleagues from the Movement
for Democratic Change (MDC) pleaded not guilty to treason charges when the
trial began on Monday.
Mr
Ben-Menashe, a former Israeli intelligence officer, says the three contracted
him to assassinate President Robert Mugabe before last year's elections.
Mr Mugabe
won but international observers said the poll was marred by violence and fraud
and Mr Tsvangirai is contesting the result in court.
Coincidence
South
African anti-apartheid lawyer George Bizos said prosecutors would not give him
any information on Mr Ben-Menashe's work for the government, though the
consultant testified that he had been paid about $1m for his lobbying work.
Prosecutors said Mr Ben Menashe's services to the government were
unrelated to the treason charges, Mr Bizos told Judge Paddington Garwe.
|
MORGAN TSVANGIRAI |
 |
Previous
treason charges dropped
Former union leader
Appealing against 2002
election results |
 |
|
|
"There is
a similarity between the fraud we say was committed against the MDC and its
office bearers and a number of other frauds that have been committed by the
witness and his companies by interfering with high profile political matters,
getting money and then turning the tables against the people to whom the
fraudulent representations were made," Mr Bizos said.
The lawyer
submitted documents of a London arbitration court ruling that one of Mr
Ben-Menashe's companies had failed to deliver $7million-worth of promised corn
to Zambia.
Mr
Ben-Menashe said that deal was altered by former Zambian President Frederick
Chiluba and was still being contested by lawyers.
'Not
elimination'
The court
has also been watching the grainy video, which Mr Ben-Menashe recorded as
evidence against Mr Tsvangirai.
During one
of the audible sections of the tape, Mr Tsvangirai said:
"The
discussion was never about the elimination of Mugabe, it was about the
election, and the post-election outcome."
|
MUGABE AND JUDGES |
 |
Mugabe has
lost several important cases
White judges forced to
resign
Replaced by government
sympathisers |
 |
|
|
Mr
Ben-Menashe said on Tuesday that the MDC had signed a $500,000 contract with
his firm and promised $10m to the head of the air force, Air Marshal Perence
Shiri, to stage a coup after Mr Mugabe's assassination.
Mr
Tsvangirai had said sources in the British Government would provide the money,
according to Mr Ben-Menashe.
"He also
asked us to enlist the United States Government to assist the MDC in carrying
out his plot," he said on Thursday.
If found
guilty, Mr Tsvangirai, Welshman Ncube and Renson Gasela could face the death
penalty.
Mr
Tsvangirai was the main challenger to Mr Mugabe during last March's
presidential elections.
Previous
treason charges against Mr Tsvangirai were dropped when they were ruled
unconstitutional.
The trial
comes as the European Union is considering whether to renew sanctions on
Zimbabwe's leader, which are due to run out on 18 February.
. End of article 3
.
. Washington 'seeks more
executions' . |
. BBC -- Thursday, 6 February, 2003, 22:25
GMT x x |
.
Ashcroft (right) is
facing criticism for his tough stance
 |
 |
|
 |
By
Emma Simpson BBC New York
correspondent |
 |
 |
US
Attorney General John Ashcroft has ordered federal prosecutors in New York and
Connecticut to seek the death penalty in more criminal cases, reports say.
The death
penalty is the law of the land, provided for as the ultimate punishment for
heinous crimes, and the Attorney General is committed to the fair
implementation of justice
The US Justice Department
|
According to the New York Times newspaper, Mr
Ashcroft has rejected the advice of prosecutors in a dozen cases, asking them
to seek the death penalty instead.
By law,
prosecutors only make recommendations on whether the death penalty should be
sought in a federal case, and Mr Ashcroft has final approval.
Critics
say Mr Ashcroft is trying to bring capital punishment to areas of America which
are traditionally less inclined to return a verdict for the death penalty.
'Law of
the land'
There are
currently 12 cases - 10 in New York and two in Connecticut - where US attorneys
have either advised against the death penalty, or not pursued it.
The New
York Times said that they have now been overruled by Mr Ashcroft.
The US
Justice Department said that the death penalty was the law of the land, and
that the review process was designed to ensure consistency and fairness across
the country.
But here
in New York City, no federal jury has returned a verdict for the death penalty
since the laws were revised a decade ago.
Defence
lawyers have criticised Mr Ashcroft's approach, arguing that the best way to
eliminate disparities was not to increase the use of capital punishment, but to
reduce it.
. End of article 4
.
. Gun attack on Laos
bus . |
. BBC -- Thursday, 6 February, 2003, 13:39
GMT x x |
.
At least 10 people, including two foreign tourists, are reported to
have been killed by heavily armed gunmen who attacked a bus in Laos.
The attack
happened near the town of Vang Vieng, a well-known beauty spot about 170
kilometres (110 miles) north of the capital Vientiane.
We believe
that it was an act of terrorism
Liporn Sonthani, Vang
Vieng official |
As many as 20 gunmen sprayed the bus with bullets,
killing at least eight Laotian passengers.
Two
foreigners - believed to be French tourists or aid workers - were also killed
as they cycled past the bus at the time of the attack.
It is
still unclear who was behind the shooting, but a government spokesperson said
an investigation had been launched.
'Act of
terrorism'
The bus
was travelling from the town of Kasi to Vientiane, and had slowed down to pass
a small village when the attack occurred.
New
Zealand journalist Hannah Belcher told the BBC's East Asia Today that two of
the bandits boarded the bus and demanded the passengers hand over their
jewellery and money, before randomly shooting people.
Ms
Belcher, who is currently based in Vang Vieng, said that unconfirmed police
reports blame Hmong bandits for the attack.
Ethnic
minority Hmong forces have been fighting the government ever since the current
regime came to power in 1975.
"We
believe that it was an act of terrorism," local official Liporn Sonthani told
the Associated Press.
The army
has closed off the roads around Vang Vieng, and the authorities are also
blocking access to telephones and the internet.
Tourists
in the area are being encouraged to stay in urban centres, and not travel to
the surrounding villages.
Past
violence
Several
years ago, the area around Vang Vieng was considered dangerous because of the
risk of attacks by Hmong anti-government rebels.
But the
attacks have lessened in recent years, encouraging an increasing flow of
foreign visitors, says the BBC south-east Asia correspondent Jonathan Head.
Renewed
fears over security could drive many tourists away, our correspondent says.
"Tourists
are frightened of what has happened, because obviously the bandits are on still
on the loose," Ms Belcher told the BBC.
Tourism
has become a vital source of income for Laos, one of the poorest countries in
Asia.
. End of article 5
.
. Thais delay opening Cambodian
border . |
. BBC -- Thursday, 6 February, 2003, 07:31
GMT x x |
.
Thailand is still
adding up the costs of anti-Thai riots
Thailand has said it will partially reopen its border with Cambodia on
Saturday, more than a week after it was closed in response to anti-Thai riots
in the Cambodian capital Phnom Penh.
Thai Prime
Minister Thaksin Shinawatra had said he would allow border checkpoints to open
on Thursday for trade purposes only.
But hundreds of Cambodians who hoped to cross into
Thailand on Thursday were turned back, and Thai officials said more time was
needed.
"The
Cambodian nationals will be allowed to cross to buy food and other basic needs
from Saturday onward," the prime minister's spokesman said.
Thailand
says it is responding to humanitarian concerns because many Cambodians are
dependent on crossing into Thailand for their food and other essentials.
Thais will
not be allowed to cross into Cambodia for "security reasons".
Correspondents say Thailand is keen not to be seen to be rushing to
restore normal relations, as a way to stress its displeasure at the rioting,
which left the Thai embassy in Pnomh Penh and many Thai-owned businesses in
ruins.
The
violence was sparked by rumours that a leading Thai actress had claimed the
Angkor Wat temple - which is a Cambodian national symbol - really belonged to
Thailand.
Apology
Thailand
initially suspended all economic co-operation and business dealings with
Cambodia in response to the 29 January riots.
But a two
day visit by the visibly penitent Cambodian foreign minister appears to have
done a lot to mend the rift, says the BBC's correspondent in Bangkok, Jonathan
Head.
|
CAMBODIAN-THAI TENSIONS
|
 |
Thais
overran Khmer empire in 15th century
Angkor Wat briefly held
by Thai army at end of WW2
Border disputes
continue
Cambodians wary of
Thailand's more powerful army
Also resent Thai
companies exploiting Cambodian natural resources |
Cambodia
has already expressed its "most profound regret" at the violence, and Prime
Minister Hun Sen has promised to pay compensation - which is thought to amount
to 2bn baht ($46.7m) for the damage to Thai businesses alone.
As a
result of these moves, relations between the two countries are slowly
improving.
Normal
flight schedules between Phnom Penh and Bangkok are expected to resume by the
end of this week.
However,
the Thai Government says it could take several more weeks for relations to be
fully restored.
Even when
the first Thai diplomats move back to Phnom Penh, they will have no embassy to
work in.
More than
50 people have already been arrested in connection with the violence in Phnom
Penh, including two journalists who have been charged with inciting rioting by
spreading false information.
Many of
the others have been charged with looting.
. End of article 6
.
. US shrugs off N Korea
threat . |
. BBC -- Thursday, 6 February, 2003, 16:18
GMT x x |
.
Tensions over North
Korea are worrying the South
The United States has shrugged off a threat from North Korea that any
decision to send more troops to the region might prompt it to make a
pre-emptive attack.
"Obviously
the United States is prepared [with] robust plans for any contingencies," White
House spokesman Ari Fleischer said in a briefing on Thursday.
"But this
type of talk and the type of actions North Korea has engaged in - or says it is
engaging in - only hurt North Korea."
US
officials announced this week that Washington was considering strengthening its
military forces in the Pacific Ocean.
|
KIM JONG-IL |
 |
Known as
the 'dear leader'
Film buff who eats
lobsters with chopsticks
Reputation as ruthless
manipulator |
 |
|
|
North Korea responded with a warning that that any
US attack on its nuclear facilities at Yongbyon would trigger "full scale war".
Mr
Fleischer downplayed the tough words from Pyongyang, saying the US had "heard
much talk from North Korea before".
The US
said reinforcements would help signal that a possible war with Iraq was not
distracting the US from its nuclear stand-off with the North.
The North
said on Wednesday that it had reactivated the nuclear site and its operations
were now going ahead "on a normal footing".
Pyongyang
says it will use the facilities to produce electricity "at the present stage".
However,
the US and nuclear experts say the Yongbyon reactor, which has been mothballed
since 1994, is too small to generate meaningful amounts of electricity.
They are
concerned that North Korea's real purpose is to resume production of
weapons-grade plutonium.
Growing
alarm
The threat
to strike first against US troops in the region came from North Korea's foreign
ministry deputy director, Ri Pyong-gap.
|
CRISIS CHRONOLOGY |
16 Oct: US
announces that N Korea has acknowledged secret nuclear programme
14 Nov: Oil shipments to
N Korea halted
22 Dec: N Korea removes
monitoring devices at Yongbyon nuclear plant
31 Dec: UN nuclear
inspectors forced to leave North Korea
10 Jan: N Korea pulls out
of anti-nuclear treaty
4 Feb: US says it might
reinforce troops in Pacific
5 Feb: N Korea says
nuclear facilities reactivated |
 |
|
|
Speaking to the BBC's Mike Thompson in Pyongyang,
Mr Ri said his government was becoming increasingly alarmed at signs that
Washington planned to send more aircraft carriers, bombers and troops to the
region.
He said
such actions would mean that the US was either planning to invade the North or
launch attacks against it.
In
response, he insisted, Pyongyang would not just sit and wait, and might decide
to strike first if necessary.
The
country currently has a standing army of more than one million soldiers. The US
has about 37,000 troops based in South Korea.
Our
correspondent says tensions on the streets of Pyongyang are tangible. Air raid
drills and blackouts are becoming twice-daily rituals and huge posters calling
for courage in the fight ahead cover billboards and walls.
North
Korean denial
The North
Koreans are believed to possess one or two nuclear weapons already, as well as
enough spent fuel rods to make four to six more.
However,
analysts say that reactivating Yongbyon reactor gives North Korea the capacity
to mass produce plutonium for nuclear weapons, raising fears of a nuclear arms
race in east Asia.
Tension
has been building in the region ever since claims by Washington that the
communist regime in Pyongyang had admitted resuming the development of nuclear
weapons in violation of the nuclear non-proliferation treaty.
North
Korea denies the allegations, which it says are being used to justify an
imminent American invasion.
Analysts
say the North may be trying to force the US to negotiate a non-aggression pact,
or strengthen its nuclear arsenal while the US is preoccupied with Iraq.
The United
Nations' nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), whose
inspectors were expelled from the plant in December, is due to hold an
emergency meeting next week on the nuclear crisis.
|
NORTH KOREA NUCLEAR
PROGRAMME |
 |
Yongbyon: Five megawatt experimental nuclear power reactor and
a partially completed plutonium extraction facility. Activities at site frozen
under 1994 Agreed Framework
Taechon: 200-MWt
nuclear power reactor - construction halted under Agreed Framework
Pyongyang:
Laboratory-scale "hot cells" that may have been used to extract small
quantities of plutonium
Kumho: Two
1,000-MWt light water reactors being built under Agreed Framework
|
. End of article 7
.
. Brazil's top airlines plan to
merge . |
. BBC -- Thursday, 6 February, 2003, 23:36
GMT x x |
.
Varig is struggling
under too many debts
Latin America's two largest airlines, Varig and Tam of Brazil, have
announced plans to merge.
The
combined company would have 218 planes, annual revenues of just under $4bn, and
control about 70% of all air travel in Brazil.
However
details of how the merger will proceed are scarce. There is no business plan
yet, and the two firms have not even agreed on the structure of the combined
company.
Both
airlines are carrying a heavy debt burden, and some analysts have warned that
Varig could be close to bankruptcy.
Last week
Varig suffered the humiliation of having one of its most modern aircraft, a
Boeing 777, seized on a Paris airport, because it had failed to keep up with
its lease payments.
A
merger, maybe
Daniell
Mandelli, the president of Tam, said the two firms were most likely to merge,
although an alternative could be the creation of a holding company that would
own both airlines.
The
details are to be worked out during the next six months.
Technically, the deal violates Brazilian antitrust law, which puts a
limit of 50% market share on any merger.
However,
these rules have been waived in previous instances, for example when brewing
giants Antarctica Paulista and Brahma merged to control 80% of the beer market.
Observers
suspect that the airline deal was probably helped along by the new government
of President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, which should help to smooth any
regulatory obstacles.
Dragged
down by debt
Brazil's
airline industry is struggling to cope with the same problems as most other
carriers around the world.
The global
economic slowdown, especially a slump of passenger numbers to the United
States, and high fuel prices have hit profits hard.
Varig is
finding it hard to cope with a debt burden of 2.7bn reals ($767m), and has also
been hit by an accounting scandal after government officials discovered wrong
bookings worth $370m.
Varig,
which was founded in the 1920s, has 116 planes flying to 107 Brazilian cities,
and to 24 foreign destinations.
The
company is owned by the non-profit Rubem Berta Foundation, which represents
Varig employees.
Tam is the
upstart rival, but in terms of revenues has managed to overtake the flag
carrier Varig. The airline has 102 planes that fly to 41 Brazilian destinations
and three foreign cities.
Last year
Tam returned 21 leased planes, but executives of both firms have promised that
the merger will not result in any further plane reductions.
. End of article 8
.
. SEC tightens rules on
analysts . |
. BBC -- Thursday, 6 February, 2003, 21:29
GMT x x |
.
Wall Street analysts
are facing new rules
Wall Street analysts will have to state that the opinions given in
their research are their own under new rules passed by the US stock market
watchdog, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
The move
follows allegations that, during the 1990s tech stock boom, some analysts gave
unreasonably favourable reports on companies to help their employer win
investment banking business.
"Simply
put, we want analysts to say what they mean, and mean what they say, and to
sign their name to that," said SEC commissioner Cynthia Glassman.
Last
December, the main banks and brokerages on Wall Street paid more than $1.4bn in
order to settle stock-tipping allegations with US regulators.
Informing investors
Under
Regulation Analyst Certification, or Reg AC, share analysts will have to
certify that the research they publish is truly their own personal view.
They will
also have to vouch that they received no payment that could influence their buy
or sell recommendations on shares and bonds.
"It's...
important that investors be fully informed of compensation arrangements and
other conflicts that could influence an analyst's recommendations or views,"
said the outgoing SEC chairman Harvey Pitt.
Mr Pitt
resigned from the SEC in November but is staying on until his nominated
successor William Donaldson is cleared by Senate.
SEC
commissioner Harvey Goldschmid said: "The modifications we have made... are
sensible" within an analyst system that "is badly broken."
But some
people said the new regulations would make little change.
"I'm not
sure what it adds to the mix," said Saul Cohen, a partner at the law firm of
Proskauer Rose.
"But if it
makes some people more comfortable, fine."
. End of article 9
.
. Venezuela pegs currency to US
dollar . |
. BBC -- Thursday, 6 February, 2003, 06:04
GMT x x |
.
Venezuela has pegged its currency at a rate 17% stronger than what it
last traded at to protect its foreign cash reserves.
Venezuelan
President Hugo Chavez made the move as substantially reduced, two-month-old
strike by opposition groups continues to drag on the economy.
"It's a
positive measure we are taking to defend our economic sovereignty," he said.
The
government fixed the exchange rate at 1,598 bolivars to the US dollar.
The
Venezuelan currency last traded at 1,853 to the dollar when the government
halted trade on 22 January.
Mr Chavez
said foreign debt payments and the import of basic foods and medicines would be
a priority.
Economic defence
The
country's foreign reserves are in a strong position after Mr Chavez's fourth
year in office.
Despite
falling $1.23bn since the strike began on 2 December, Venezuela still has
$11.26bn, enough for 10 months of imports.
"We are
willing to do anything to defend our reserves and economic stability from
speculative attacks and capital flight," said Mr Chavez.
Currency
traders have sold off the bolivar this year, sending it tumbling 24% against
the dollar until the government suspended trading.
Mr Chavez
said oil production, which accounts a third of the economy and half of
government revenues, has hit almost 2 million barrels per day, up from 150,000
in December.
Before the
strike, the world's fifth largest oil exporter was producing 3.2 million
barrels per day.
Sacked
workers from state-oil firm Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA) claim production is
only 1.25 million.
Currency rules
Under the
new currency rules, foreign companies have to register with the government
before they can repatriate profits overseas, Mr Chavez said.
He also
said access to the international currency markets would be restricted for the
strikers.
"Not one
dollar more to the coup mongers," he said.
The
Central Bank and a new regulator will control foreign exchange operations.
Business
groups and labour unions joined together to oust the democratically elected Mr
Chavez by disrupting the economy, especially the oil sector.
But faced
with bankruptcy, many businesses returned to work, breaking with the labour
groups, many of whose members have been sacked during the dispute.
. End of article 10
.
. German police grab terror
suspects . |
. BBC -- Thursday, 6 February, 2003, 13:06
GMT x x |
.
Police take evidence
from Muenster's Islamic centre
German police are questioning three men on suspicion of planning
terrorist attacks in Germany.
The searches
carried out today serve the goal of finding further evidence about the
existence, structure and objectives of the association and its integration in
an international network of violent Islamic fundamentalists
Prosecutors' statement
|
The suspects are all leading members of Islamic
centres in Minden and Muenster.
German
prosecutors say they are believed to have considered attacks in Germany at the
end of 2001 and the beginning of 2002, including one "on an American
installation in the Frankfurt metropolitan area".
One of the
men is also suspected of supporting an al-Qaeda cell in Hamburg, which is
believed to have provided three of the suicide pilots who took part in the 11
September attacks.
Six premises are being searched, including the
Islamic Centre in Muenster and the Islamic community building in Minden.
"The
searches carried out today serve the goal of finding further evidence about the
existence, structure and objectives of the association and its integration in
an international network of violent Islamic fundamentalists," the prosecutors
said in a statement.
Two of the
men are suspected of forming a group "in order to commit attacks on the basis
of an aggressive, militant Islamic fundamentalism".
Motassadek faces a possible 15-year
sentence |
The third is suspected of supporting the group.
The
arrests come as the trial in Germany of Mounir al-Motassadek, also linked to
the Hamburg cell, enters its final phase.
Mr
Motassadek is charged with being a member of a terrorist organisation and being
an accessory to the deaths of more than 3,000 people.
In closing
arguments in Hamburg on Wednesday, prosecutors called for a maximum 15-year
sentence.
Five
Algerian men are also on trial in Germany suspected of belonging to the
al-Qaeda network.
Four of
them are charged with planning to bomb a Christmas market in Strasbourg in
2000.
. End of article 11
.
. Israel's Likud grows in
strength . |
. BBC -- Thursday, 6 February, 2003, 20:31
GMT x x |
.
Mr Sharansky's party
will merge with Mr Sharon's
The Likud party of Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon has absorbed a
small centre-right party just days before Israel's president is to ask Mr
Sharon to form a new government.
Likud
merged with the immigrants' rights party Yisrael B'Aliyah, bringing the
combined bloc's strength to 40 seats in the 120-seat Knesset, or parliament.
Yisrael
B'Aliyah's leader, former Soviet dissident Natan Sharansky, has been promised a
cabinet post in charge of Jerusalem and diaspora Jewry.
The president has not
changed Mr Mitzna's mind |
Mr Sharon was re-elected last week in a landslide
victory by Israeli standards, but will still find it hard work to build a
governing coalition.
He has
said he would prefer a national unity government with the centre-left Labour
party, but dovish Labour leader Amram Mitzna has said his party will not serve
under hawkish Mr Sharon.
Mr Sharon
has said he would prefer not to lead a narrow right-wing and religious
coalition, though he could probably build a workable majority with little
difficulty.
The makeup
of the next Israeli Government could prove critical in determining policy
towards the Palestinians.
President's intervention
Israeli
President Moshe Katsav met Mr Mitzna on Thursday to urge him to join a unity
government, but Mr Mitzna refused.
Mr Sharon
will have six weeks to form a government once Mr Katsav formally invites him to
do so on Sunday.
Mr Sharansky
is admitting that the days for parties of Russian immigrants are over
Leslie Susser, Jerusalem
Report |
Mr Mitzna favours unconditionally resuming peace
talks with the Palestinians and advocates dismantling Jewish settlements in the
West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Mr
Sharon's party has been in coalition talks with the aggressively secular
centre-right Shinui Party, which finished third in the election.
However,
Shinui is reluctant to sit in government with two ultra-Orthodox Jewish parties
that together account for 16 seats.
Changing times
Yisrael
B'Aliyah's merger with Likud is a sign that immigrant parties have outlived
their usefulness, Jerusalem Report diplomatic correspondent Leslie Susser told
BBC News Online.
The party
captured only two seats in last week's elections, down from four in the
outgoing Knesset.
"Mr
Sharansky is admitting that the days for parties of Russian immigrants are
over," he said.
He said
the merger with Likud was something of a formality, since Mr Sharansky's party
would almost certainly have been in government anyway.
About one
million Russian immigrants came to Israel in the wake of the collapse of the
Soviet Union, helping swell Israel's population to about 6.6 million.
. End of article 12
.
. Six killed in Mid-East
violence . |
. BBC -- Thursday, 6 February, 2003, 08:34
GMT x x |
.
On Wednesday Israeli
forces blew up a house in Gaza
In a night of fresh violence four Palestinians and two Israelis have
been killed in two separate incidents in the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Two
Palestinian gunmen were shot dead after mounting an attack on an Israeli army
post in a Jewish area near the West Bank town of Nablus, in which two Israelis
were killed.
In a
second incident, an Israeli helicopter opened fire with machine guns at the
edge of Gaza City, killing two Palestinian medical workers, according to
Palestinian sources.
The
continuing violence in the occupied territories forms a backdrop to political
negotiations in Israel as Prime Minister Ariel Sharon tries to form a new
coalition government after he and his hardline allies won a clear majority in
recent elections.
The
results, along with the possibility of a war on Iraq, have alarmed
Palestinians, says the BBC's Jerusalem correspondent Barbara Plett.
They are
afraid Mr Sharon could use the war as a pretext to invade Gaza and destroy the
rest of the Palestinian authority.
Army
post attack
In the
Nablus incident, two Israeli soldiers, including an officer, were shot dead by
Palestinian militants in an ambush near Mount Gerizim on the southern outskirts
of the West Bank town, Israeli security sources said.
The two
Palestinians were killed in exchanges of fire with the Israeli army during the
attack, the Israeli sources said.
Two
militias - the al-Aqsa Martyrs' Brigade, affiliated to Palestinian leader
Yasser Arafat's Fatah movement, and the Popular Front for the Liberation of
Palestine (PFLP) - said they carried out the attack together.
In the
Gaza incident, the director of a local hospital was quoted by the Reuters news
agency as saying that the two Palestinian men killed, both in their 20s, were
shot as they worked in a nearby home for the elderly.
The
incident occurred just across from the Israeli village of Nahal Oz, which
correspondents say is frequently the target of attacks by Palestinian
militants.
Israeli
military sources said that during an operation in Gaza, helicopters had used
gunfire on open spaces to discourage attack, but they were unaware that anyone
had been shot.
. End of article 13
.
. Pakistan begins 'new chapter'
with Russia . |
. BBC -- Thursday, 6 February, 2003, 22:35
GMT x x |
.
Musharraf and Putin
hope for better relations
 |
 |
|
|
By
Nikolai Gorshkov BBC correspondent
in Moscow |
 |
 |
The
President of Pakistan Pervez Musharraf has wrapped up his visit to Moscow, the
first by a Pakistani leader in 33 years.
He hailed
it as the start of a new chapter in the Russian-Pakistani relations.
Russia is
well-placed to play a key role in the resolution of disputes and improving
relations between India and Pakistan
President Musharraf
|
President Musharraf told the press in Moscow that
Russia and Pakistan have decided to re-start their relationship with a clean
slate and leave everything negative behind.
The two
countries' relations have been strained ever since the Soviet intervention in
Afghanistan, when Pakistan became a base for the Mujahideen resistance.
But even
before that, Russia's friendship with India - Pakistan's arch-rival - was
viewed with suspicion in Islamabad.
Weak
link
Recently,
Moscow has been worried that Islamic rebels in Pakistan might have joined hands
with the Chechen rebels.
Pakistan
was seen as the weakest link in the international coalition against terror, a
concern now shared by Washington.
The 1971 war
caused a rift with Moscow |
At a news
conference in Moscow on Thursday President Musharraf was asked to comment on
the US Secretary of State Colin Powell's allegations that Iraq had been using
its embassy in Pakistan for contacts with al-Qaeda.
"We don't
have any information or intelligence on this," President Musharraf said. "We
need to analyse whatever information (Powell) has."
The
Pakistani leader said he had assured President Putin that Islamabad would not,
"allow its territory to be used by anyone for any kind of terrorist activity
inside or outside Pakistan."
He added
that he viewed the Chechen war as Russia's internal matter.
Best
wishes
The
Russian President chose to use diplomatic language to press home the need for
Pakistan to do more in the fight against extremism.
"We wish
President Musharraf success in fulfilling all the obligations that his country
undertook in the anti-terror coalition," President Putin said.
The
driving force behind Pakistan's rapprochement with Russia appears to be the
need to resolve the bitter dispute with India over the Kashmir region.
Putin: Wishes Pakistan success |
"Russia, with its long relations with India and
now improving relations with Pakistan is most well-placed to play a key role in
the resolution of disputes and improving relations between India and Pakistan,"
President Musharraf said.
"...obviously, the focal point is Kashmir but we did not get involved
in the methodology of its resolution," he added.
The
Russian leader takes the credit for defusing a crisis over Kashmir last year
when India and Pakistan deployed a million troops along their border in tense
stand-off.
Historic links
Moscow has
a history of mediating between the two; with variable success.
In 1966,
after a bloody war over Kashmir, the then Soviet Prime Minister Alexei Kosygin
facilitated the meeting of the Indian and Pakistani leaders in Tashkent in
Central Asia.
They
agreed to solve the conflict peacefully.
But in the
1970s, the animosity between the two took the upper hand and the Soviet Union
sided with India.
Now, with
a fresh start in the Russian-Pakistani relations President Putin maintains that
this new partnerships should not jeopardise Russia's relations with its
established friend, India.
As
President Musharraf arrived in Moscow on Tuesday, President Putin made a phone
call to the Indian Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee to reassure him that
India's strategic partnership with Moscow would not suffer as a result.
But in
line with its new pragmatic foreign policy Russia is looking to diversify its
regional contacts and widen business opportunities.
This is
especially the case as the World's only superpower is too busy with Iraq to pay
attention to anything else.
. End of article 14
.
. Protests over Gujarat
arrest . |
. BBC -- Thursday, 6 February, 2003, 17:19
GMT x x |
.
The Hindu pilgrims were
unable to excape the blaze
Shops in the town of Godhra in India's Gujarat state have closed in
protest at the arrest of a Muslim in connection with a deadly train attack.
Maulana
Hussain Umarji, a cleric, is suspected of planning the alleged arson attack,
which took place in Godhra last February.
When people
in Godhra town came to know about the arrest on Thursday morning there was
tension
Rakesh Asthana Railway
police |
Muslims were accused of starting the fire, in
which 58 Hindu pilgrims died.
The deaths
sparked India's worst communal riots in a decade, in which at least 1,000
people, mostly Muslims, were killed across Gujarat.
Inspector
Rakesh Asthana of India's railway police said the cleric had been arrested late
on Wednesday night.
"When
people in Godhra town came to know about the arrest on Thursday morning there
was tension here but the situation is under control now," he said.
Some
Hindus in Godhra also closed down their shops on Thursday, fearing violence.
Hindu
fears
Police
said Mr Umarji was arrested after another accused, Zabir Behra, told a
magistrate in Godhra the cleric had met a group of Muslims the night before the
train blaze.
Dozens of people died
in the attack last year |
Mr Behra claimed he was present at the meeting,
which he said was held to plot the 27 February attack.
He said
that the cleric promised to pay the men for carrying out the attack and told
them to swear on the Koran.
Mr Behra
also said fuel was stored in a hotel owned by Razzak Kurkur, one of the main
accused in the arson attack.
Maulana
Umarji met Indian Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee and opposition Congress
party leader Sonia Gandhi during their visits to Gujarat last year and
complained of police harassment of Muslims.
Police
have not yet formally charged Mr Umarji, who is due to be produced in court by
Friday.
. End of article 15
.
. Web worm suspects
arrested . |
. BBC -- Thursday, 6 February, 2003, 16:43
GMT x x |
.
The hackers' worm targeted net chat users
|
Two people suspected of creating a malicious web
program have been arrested in a combined operation by the FBI and the UK's
National Hi-Tech Crime Unit.
The raids
in Darlington and Durham in the UK resulted in the seizure of two men accused
of being members of a hacker group that calls itself THr34t-Krew.
The group
is thought to be behind the creation of the TK web worm that used internet chat
channels to attack other computers.
The
National Hi-Tech Crime Unit says the worm infected more than 18,000 computers.
Damage
claim
The men
arrested in the raids were a 19-year-old electrician in Darlington and a
21-year-old man in Durham.
The homes
of the pair have been searched and computers taken away for examination.
Hacking and
virus writing are serious crimes. They are costing UK firms millions of pounds
in lost business and downtime
Mick Deats, NHTCU
|
The worm created by the THr34t-Krew infected
machines by exploiting a vulnerability in Microsoft's IIS server software.
The
strangled spelling of the group's name is typical of so-called 'l33t' (elite)
speak which swaps capital letters and numbers for other characters.
It was
designed to provide a backdoor into any computer that had it installed.
Once a
machine was infected it reported in regularly to the #tkworld chat channels on
IRC.
IRC is
used by many people as a way to chat and swap files online. IRC servers host
chat channels typically dedicated to a particular group or topic. Conversations
are carried on by typing text.
IRC is
also used by many malicious computer vandals as an easy way to manage the army
of computers that their creations infect.
The
computers that THr34t-Krew controlled via IRC could be used to scan for other
vulnerable machines or to launch any one of several types of attack by proxy.
In the
net
The
National Hi-Tech Crime Unit says that the TK worm caused up to £5.5m of
disruption.
However,
Graham Cluley, spokesman for anti-virus firm Sophos, said the worm was not
well-known among computer security firms.
One of the
few people to encounter the TK worm and the THr34t-Krew is consultant Seth
Fogie who wrote of his encounter with the worm and the group on the Inform IT
website.
Detective
Superintendent, Mick Deats, deputy head of the NHTCU, said: "Hack | |