Elections
in Populous Indian State Test for Ruling Party
Jim
Teeple
New
Delhi
15
Feb 2002

A multi-day election that
began Thursday in India's most populous state, Uttar Pradesh, is seen as
a key test for the country's ruling party. Local issues dominated the campaigning
for new state legislators, but India's tensions with Pakistan are also
an election issue. The election in Uttar Pradesh - with nearly 100 million
eligible voters, is seen as a litmus test for Prime Minister Atal Behari
Vajpayee.
Supporters of the ruling
Bharatiya Janata Party, holding a final campaign rally in the temple city
of Ayodhya, are vocal, but many are also worried. Final polls going into
the election show the BJP in a virtual tie with its strongest rival, the
Samajwadi Party.
The BJP gets most of its
support from Hindu middle and upper class business people, while the Samajwadi
Party has traditionally been supported by what are known as lower, or "backward
castes," and Muslims.
The BJP has ruled Uttar Pradesh
for five years, and the state is a key bastion of support for the party.
Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee's constituency is in Uttar Pradesh.
Many political analysts have said if the BJP loses control of the state,
India's fragile coalition government will be weakened, and Prime Minister
Vajpayee's authority and stature diminished.
On a final campaign swing,
Rajnath Singh, the BJP chief minister of the state, has said that will
not happen.
"There is no question about
losing this election in Uttar Pradesh. The Bharatiya Janata Party will
have a full-fledged majority, and we will form the government in Uttar
Pradesh. There is no doubt at all," Mr. Singh says.
Voting is being staggered
over several days to allow tens-of-thousands of police to be moved to different
locations to provide election security. Voting is also taking place in
three other states, but the Uttar Pradesh state assembly, with more than
400 seats, is the big prize in this election. Final results from all four
states are expected by February 24. At nearly every campaign stop, Mr.
Singh tells prospective voters that a vote for the BJP is a vote of support
for Prime Minister Vajpayee's tough stance with Pakistan. India has moved
hundreds-of-thousands of troops to its border with Pakistan in the wake
of a terrorist attack on India's parliament that New Delhi blamed on Pakistan-backed
militants.
But Rajnath Singh says the
troop buildup on the border is not politically motivated.
"Troops are deployed there
for the border security, and not for election purposes. Our internal and
external security should not be connected with the election, or with politics,"
he says.
Samajwadi Party leaders say
Rajnath Singh's constant appeals to patriotism are a sign of desperation.
Amar Singh, the general secretary of the opposition party, says he supports
Prime Minister Vajpayee's stance toward Pakistan. But he says there is
also a perception that the BJP is using national security issues as an
election tool.
"I think, definitely, the
troops at the border - all this - that has definitely got a link with the
UP election. But, at the same time, as a responsible politician, they (BJP)
are in government. And Atal Behari Vajpayee might be the (political) opposition,
but I consider him my prime minister, as well. As prime minister of India,
if he thinks that these troops are essential at the border, I am definitely
with him. I do not want to make an issue of this, because this pertains
to national security. But, what we are saying is that the perception is
definitely there, and at times in public life, perception becomes larger
than the reality," he says.
Amar Singh says he believes
the election in Uttar Pradesh will be decided on caste issues, public disgust
with corruption and Muslim anger over plans by Hindu nationalists to build
a Hindu temple at a disputed site in Ayodhya that both Hindus and Muslims
claim as holy ground.
Tensions with Pakistan, he
says, will not be the deciding factor when voters determine who will run
India's most populous state.
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