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Page 1: daybydaywithVOA_6-01Dec2002.html
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COMMENTARY -- WAR -- (the news is directly below):
You have gone back in time and are standing in the midst of a lush
ancient forest. You hear and see some large vegetarian dinosaurs feeding on the
moist soft leaves of brush and trees. You also see skulking about like a cat
after a mouse, other smaller dinosaurs with a lighter build about them trying
to catch and eat even smaller dinosaurs. You also see small dinosaurs feeding
on the vegetation. Suddenly you hear a loud screech which terrifies every
creature in this setting and sends them running for fear. The screech is coming
from a large version of the lighter built and fast moving dinosaur with teeth
designed to rip and tear other animal flesh. It quickly moves up on the large
vegetarian. It lacks the weight of the vegetarian it is pursuing but has more
speed and agility. It's massive and powerful jaws are set into motion as it
lunges upon the vegetarian and immediately draws blood as it rips and tears
away at a vital spot. The vegetarian tries to defend itself by using its heavy
tail to whack the aggressor but it was too slow this time in defending itself
and it quickly weakened because of pain and loss of blood. Dizzy and in
weakness it dropped to the ground and took its last breath. The aggressor
ruthlessly tore away at the most tasty spots and then left the carcass for
scavengers.
In the natural world this story describes the "food chain" and the
"predatory" character of those creatures at the top of the food chain. The
predatory behavior is driven by hunger and the instinct of the predator to feed
and care for it's young. Although all animals have some kind of reasoning
capability their instincts most often prevail and their reasoning is
subordinate to these instincts to make them more effective at surviving.
How does this story relate to war? Is war wrong? Is war necessary?
What is accomplished by war?
Mankind is to be above the animals, that is he should be
exercising his reasoning capabilities over his instincts. But mankind often
does not do that. Tribal behavior is something like wolf pack behavior. There
is a kind of civilized order within the pack but anything outside the pack is
considered fair game. There is usually a pack leader. In many ways, the
societies and cultures and communities of mankind are like the pack where the
reasoning capabilities of the individuals in the pack and the consensus of the
pack is directed at serving the primitive instincts of survival.
Although man is more technically capable as he sits atop the food
chain, many of the nations, societies, cultures, and communities of man are
more predatory in character with leaders that know how to control the pack and
maintain their control over the pack. If allowed, these predatory packs of
mankind will act just like the predatory dinosaur. No amount of talk or
reasoning will prevent the attack because the overall social behavior is
predatory and reason is used to make the predatory behavior more successful.
The only defense against such predators is to be both prepared and more capable
if attacked. But often a defensive posture will fail as it did with the
vegetarian dinosaur which was no threat to the other dinosaurs. Many animal
packs that are vegetarian adopt defensive and preventative postures as a pack
to minimize any predatory attack on members within the vegetarian pack.
Buffalo, cattle, and many other animals do this.
But only mankind has two things the animals don't have. Man is
smart enough to anticipate a predatory attack and respond in a defensive
manoeuvre of defense to disable or kill the predatory enemy before the
"screech" of death is heard. Man has the means and abilities to develop
sophisticated weaponry. Compare this weaponry to the teeth of the attacking
dinosaur and the tail of the vegetarian dinosaur.
But if a society or community of man is not aware of such dangers
by other predatory type societies and communities then it peacefully and
obliviously eats, drinks, sleeps, reproduces, plays, and in other ways occupies
itself. When the "screech" of impending death is heard it may be too late. This
is especially true if the predatory society has technological superiority and
readiness to use that technology in an aggressive manner. This susceptibility
scenario is also true if a society or community of man has been deceived into
thinking that the predators are their friends or that arbitration, deals, and
discourse will stop the aggression. Nothing will stop the predatory nation or
community from its behavior other than its own destruction. A predatory human
or human society is far more committed to violent aggression than is a
predatory animal seeking a prey for a source of food. A predator is ruthless
and uncaring whether it be a dinosaur, a wolf, or man. The "whimper" (or dialog
to prevent aggression) that precedes death is understood by the predator as
victory and the prey can be savaged. There are those that feel that a kind of
social remedial exercise involving discourse, and various other forms of reward
and penalty administered against the predatory society, by some powerful
majority, will cause such predatory communities to change. This is
foolishness as long as the pack leader remains leader. The leaders drive
the communities. This is true even in western democratic nations. Sometimes
leaders reflect the views of the community that elected them and perhaps
leaders exploit the community that elected them.
When leaders have control of the key social institutions they can
use these institutions to brain wash the community as a whole. If leaders don't
have control of the key social institutions then new potential pack leaders can
use these institutions to brain wash the community and thereafter supplant the
pack leader. For example, often the educational institutions are infiltrated
with authority figures that have a profound influence on those they teach. So
it is not unusual in just about every society to see social discontent first
voiced by universities and institutions of higher learning. The so called media
in the form of newspapers, magazines, radio and TV industry, the publishing
industry, and the movie industry are powerful means of brainwashing a society
and re-engineering the "average" social mentality. A third category is the
religious institutions, seminaries, and related organizations. Whoever controls
the content of these institutions inevitably controls the pack mentality. Laws
and government are derived from this mentality. As the mentality changes so
also do the laws and inclinations of government.
As long as the average human being allows himself or herself to be
herded along in a pack type social environment there will be predatory
societies that feed on the other societies. They will skulk about and wait for
their moment. They will form unholy and wicked alliances with each other only
to eventually turn on one another. War in this context simply realigns those at
the top of the food chain. War is for the purpose of establishing different
leaders, it rarely occurs for the purpose of true peace and prosperity directed
from a global perspective. Although the word peace is used a lot today its
meaning varies depending upon who uses it. Peace as used by world leaders means
the establishment of their objectives at the cost of their opponents. World
leaders shake each others hands in such deceptive gestures of peace. It is a
paradox. It is a horrible dilemma. If any society disarms, adopts arbitration
and dialog to effect change then they will be perceived as manipulatable
through that dialog. They will also be perceived by the potential aggressor as
weak because they rely too heavily on a so called diplomatic solution to
disputes. Meanwhile the predatory society or societies will take whatever gain
they can through the dialog and when their moment comes, lunge, and with their
mighty jaws and sharp teeth rip and tear away at the vulnerabilities of their
prey.
Therefore, God must manipulate the devil who influences man
towards predatory behavior. The devil incarnate is Anti-Christ. The Anti-Christ
or Satan is any human being that uses their reasoning capabilities to serve
their primitive instincts. By so doing they have opened up and turned over
their mental "real estate" to the spiritual forces of darkness that bring only
death. The spiritual force of evil is only able to influence the human mind
through the mechanism of our primitive instincts for survival. If we lust and
are preoccupied with the things and values of a world driven by such instincts
then we have been deceived into a form of mental slavery that brings only
hatred and death in its wake.
Jesus Christ is the answer. He is both an example of what we must
be like as humans and he is the facilitator/mediator/interface whereby we can
all know and experience the love/caring of God.
If you have any comments, questions, or concerns you can email
this ministry at thilts@help-for-you.com
Visit the... Overcomer on line Study Bible
OOLSB articles
are now being added - Click on::
http://www.help-for-you.com/doc/OOLSB_freestanding.html
.
Page 1
. . . Day by Day with VOA ..
. BBC --
Monday, 16 December, 2002, 16:59 GMT .
'Landslide' in
Equatorial Guinea
.
Mr Obiang's party has
been accused of intimidation
The authorities in Equatorial Guinea say President Teodoro Obiang
Nguema has been re-elected with almost 100% of the vote in Sunday's
presidential election, according to initial results.
But an observer
monitoring the election for a US-based NGO, Ahmed Rajab, has said that Mr
Obiang's entourage is embarrassed by what has already been described as a
"Saddam scenario".
Interior Minister
Clemente Engonga described as "unlawful" the last-minute decision by the four
opposition candidates to withdraw from the poll.
The four said the
poll was marred by irregularities.
Opponents of Mr
Obiang, who is seeking a third seven-year term, say he has not distributed the
country's oil revenue fairly to the people.
'Fear'
Mr Engonga was
quoted as saying by the Spanish news agency EFE that the decision by Mr
Obiang's challengers to withdraw was "proof of the bad faith and diabolical
spirit" of the four candidates.
Mr Rajab told the
BBC's Focus on Africa programme that if the election is seen to have been
shambolic, it will have done Mr Obiang more harm than good.
But he said he had
not witnessed any malpractice.
"We don't think we
saw any irregularities as such," he said.
"But what happens
before an election is much more important, and we don't know what happened
before the election."
"There could have
been an element of fear which prompted people to vote for
Obiang."
'Fraudulent'
Mr Obiang's main
challenger, Celesto Bonifacio Bacale, was the first to withdraw from the race
in the middle of the election, saying voting had not been
secret.
"Voting is totally
fraudulent at every level. In 90% of the polling stations, the vote is being
carried out in public, and people are being obliged to take only one voting
slip, the one for Obiang," he was quoted as saying.
"There are polling
stations that don't exist and ones that weren't planned that have popped up,"
he said.
Some people have
not benefited from the oil bonanza |
"There are polling
stations presided over by soldiers and the police, and electoral officials who
open the envelopes of voters who cast their ballots in
secret."
Mr Bacale, the
candidate of the Convergence for Social Democracy (CPDS) said that several
heads of polling stations who had insisted on free and fair elections had been
removed by government officials, and warned that the move could incite
violence.
"The CPDS will not
recognise the results of this election, nor the government which follows them,"
he said.
'Anti-democratic'
The three other
challengers for the presidency declared the election "invalid" and called for
fresh elections "in the best conditions of freedom, legality and
transparency".
Mr Obiang's party
denied that there had been any irregularities.
"Many people are
lining up to vote in a normal and peaceful atmosphere," the secretary general
of the Democratic Party of Equatorial Guinea (PDGE) said.
Interior Minister
Clemente Engonga Nguema condemned the late withdrawal of the four candidates,
saying it was "irresponsible and
anti-democratic". . BBC -- Monday, 16 December,
2002, 22:53 GMT .
West Africa
leaders call crisis talks
.
MPCI rebels control the
northern half of Ivory Coast
The heads of at least eight West African countries have called a
series of emergency meetings to try to find a solution to the conflict in Ivory
Coast.
After a high-level
summit in Togo on Monday, the leaders of Togo, Ghana, Nigeria, Senegal and
Liberia announced further meetings on Tuesday and
Wednesday.
More French troops
- with orders to shoot anyone seriously violating a ceasefire in the country -
arrived as the leaders talked, making the French contingent the largest Paris
has deployed in Africa since the 1980s.
|
Countries involved in summit
meetings |
Nigeria
Senegal
Liberia
Ghana
Togo
Guinea
Bissau
Mali
Niger |
France has
offered to hold a summit to help end the conflict in Ivory Coast, the world's
largest cocoa producer and a key transportation hub for several landlocked West
African countries.
Representatives of
the Ivorian Government and the main rebel group the MPCI were present during
Monday's summit in the northern Togolese town of Kara, but they did not take
part in the talks.
A squabble did
break out, however, over the seating arrangement at a music performance
attended by the parties and the West African presidents.
The chief Ivorian
Government negotiator threatened to walk out when he saw that a rebel spokesman
was sitting closer to the West African leaders than he was, the French news
agency AFP reported.
Stalled
The Ivorian peace
negotiations in Togo, sponsored by the regional body Ecowas, have made little
progress since an armed uprising began in September.
At the
weekend, the first contingent of reinforcements for the French military mission
in Ivory Coast arrived, despite a threat by the MPCI to fight against
them.
Some 150
paratroopers were reported to have landed at the international airport in
Abidjan.
The 1,200-strong
French deployment is to be boosted by 500 troops in all.
France has
broadened the mandate of its soldiers in Ivory Coast, authorising them to
enforce - rather than just monitor - an October ceasefire between government
forces and the rebels who now control the north of the
country.
Rebel
anger
On Friday, a
spokesman for the Patriotic Movement of Ivory Coast (MPCI) Guillaume Soro
accused the troops of deviating from their peacekeeping mission, and demanded
their withdrawal.
French
reinforcements have arrive to 'enforce' peace |
The BBC's
Paul Welsh in Ivory Coast's commercial capital, Abidjan says the MPCI believes
the French are taking sides with the government.
At least 400
people have been killed since the uprising by disgruntled soldiers, and
hundreds of thousands displaced by the fighting.
Since then, new
rebel factions have emerged in the west of the country.
A quarter of a
million people have now been displaced by the worsening war in Ivory Coast -
half to neighbouring countries.
.
BBC --
Tuesday, 17 December, 2002, 04:15
GMT
.
US weighs
Iraq's weapons declaration
.
More than 100 UN
inspectors are now on the ground
President Bush could announce the formal US response to Iraq's
declaration of its weapons programmes in a few days' time, White House
officials have said.
In his first
public comments on the issue, US Secretary of State Colin Powell said there
were problems with the Iraqi document submitted on 7
December.
"We approached
it with scepticism and the information I have received so far is that that
scepticism is well-founded," Mr Powell said in Washington on
Monday.
If the inspectors go
to the right site and to the right building and take this kind of samples, I
don't think they [the Iraqis] can hide anything 
David
Donahue IAEA lab chief |
The
Americans have said they will lead a coalition to disarm Iraq by force if it
fails to co-operate fully with UN weapons inspectors, who are operating in the
country after a four-year absence.
White House
spokesman Ari Fleischer said on Monday that "it was abundantly plain, from the
will of the United Nations, that this was Iraq's last chance to inform the
world in an accurate, complete and full way what weapons of mass destruction
they possessed".
Mr Powell said
Washington's official response on the document would be forthcoming towards the
end of this week, after the chief UN weapons inspector Hans Blix makes his
presentation on the 12,000 page document to the Security
Council.
Samples
The BBC's Justin
Webb in Washington says nothing has yet been set in stone, but it looks as if
President Bush himself will deliver America's unfavourable verdict on the Iraqi
document.
Our
correspondent says it's understood that one of the problems that America will
highlight is Iraq's failure to account for chemical and biological agents the
country still possessed when the last inspectors let in
1998.
Meanwhile, the
first samples collected by inspectors in Iraq have arrived at a laboratory in
Austria run by the UN nuclear agency, where they will be analysed for any
traces of a nuclear weapons programme.
An initial
analysis of the eight samples will take two to three weeks, a spokesman for the
International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) told the Associated Press news
agency. Another 20 samples are expected by the weekend.
IAEA lab: A
tiny trace could have a devastating impact |
On a
landmark visit to Britain the Syrian President, Bashar al-Assad, said he was
optimistic the Iraq crisis could be resolved peacefully.
However, the UK
Prime Minister, Tony Blair, said there were clear differences in "views and
emphasis" over Iraq between him and Mr Assad.
The UN Security
Council resolution paving the way for the return of weapons inspectors to Iraq,
adopted in November, warns Baghdad of "serious consequences" if it fails to
comply with UN disarmament demands.
New
inspections
The IAEA has
said it hopes to have screening results from the first samples by the time its
director, Mohamed El Baradei, reports to the UN Security Council on 27
January.
US forces are
on exercise in Kuwait |
UN arms
inspectors entered six suspect sites on Monday, including a biomedical
institute at Baghdad University - the first visit to an academic facility since
inspections resumed three weeks ago.
And for a third
day running, Monday saw inspectors visit al-Qa'qaa, a site that was involved in
the final design of a nuclear bomb before UN teams dismantled the Iraqi nuclear
programme following the 1991 Gulf War.
Extra inspectors
have now arrived in Iraq, bringing the total to more than
100.
.
BBC --
Monday, 16 December, 2002, 21:30
GMT
.
EU offers WTO
farm subsidy cuts
.
Farm subsidies make
up almost half of the EU budget
The European Union has offered to cut tariffs on agricultural
products by 36% as part of a talks at the World Trade Organisation
(WTO).
Opening
markets for farm goods is a key element in the current round of world trade
talks.
It has produced a
vacuous public relations document designed to paper over differences between
member states 
Justin
Forsyth Oxfam's Policy Director
|
Developing countries have demanded farm and textile industries, which
are among their most important exports, be opened by the EU and
US.
"We are ready
to put our money where our mouth is," said EU Trade Commissioner Pascal
Lamy.
The US and aid
groups have said the EU proposals are a public relations exercise and do not
offer serious reforms. European offer
EU Agriculture
Commissioner Franz Fischler said the cuts were already incorporated in
adjustments made to the Common Agricultural Policy.
Farm subsidies
account for just under half of the EU's 90bn euro ($91.8bn) annual
budget.
It has also
offered duty-free, quota-free access for farm exports from developing
countries.
The cuts in
subsidies and tariff are conditional on similar cuts from other developed
countries, particularly the US.
The US,
Canada, Japan, Australia and the 15 EU members would also cut export subsidies
by 45% and domestic subsidies as part of the deal.
Policy
criticism
Aid groups
said it fell far short of what was needed to help poor
nations.
Oxfam
described the Commission proposals as a public relations exercise leaving
subsidies for the diary and sugar industries in tact.
"It has
produced a vacuous public relations document designed to paper over differences
between member states," said Justin Forsyth, Oxfam's Policy
Director.
The Commission
has offered to cut export subsidies for wheat, oilseeds, olive oil and
tobacco.
The US said
the Commission proposals failed make a serious change.
"The EC's
proposal, while welcome, does not embrace fundamental reform in world
agricultural trade," the US Trade Representative's office spokesman, Richard
Mills, said in a statement.
In July
Washington unveiled its agriculture proposals and President George W. Bush in
May approved $173.5bn in domestic farm subsidies over 10
years.
.
BBC --
Monday, 16 December, 2002, 08:26
GMT
.
French bank
bidding war breaks cover
.
Credit Lyonnais
has a number of suitors
A bidding war over Credit Lyonnais looks set to shake up France's
banking industry.
Credit
Agricole has launched a bid for Lyonnais, trumping the steady building of a
substantial stake in recent weeks by BNP Paribas.
Credit
Lyonnais' board has backed the proposal, whose 19.5bn euro ($20bn;
£12.5bn) price tag - mostly in cash but with a proportion in shares - is
6% above the bank's market value.
Other
shareholders including AGF, Germany's Commerzbank, and BBVA and Intesa from
Spain - who between them hold 21.2% of the bank - are also in
favour.
Bidding
war
The saga of
Credit Lyonnais kicked into high gear in November, when BNP Paribas agreed to
take over the French government's 10.9% stake in a deal apparently wrapped up
over a single weekend.
At that
point the 2.2bn euro price tag represented a 49% premium, much more than Credit
Agricole - the main suitor earlier in the year - had been willing to
pay.
BNP's
interest, and its subsequent purchase of more shares on the open market to take
its stake to 16.4%, has sent Credit Lyonnais shares
sky-rocketing.
But Credit
Agricole had not given up its attempt to acquire Credit Lyonnais' 6 million
customers and 1,800 branches across France.
From Credit
Lyonnais' point of view, a buyout by Credit Agricole would mean both brands
stay on the High Street, while backroom and investment banking would be
pooled.
Not over
yet
BNP could
still counterbid, if it feels that Credit Lyonnais' shareholders or board are
not united behind the Agricole proposal.
Lyonnais,
which was only rescued from bankruptcy in the mid-1990s by a government
bailout, is a choice prize.
Last year's
net profits totalled 812m euros, on sales of 6.73bn
euros.
.
BBC --
Monday, 16 December, 2002, 20:42
GMT
.
Venezuelan strike lifts oil prices
.
Strikes have
severely disrupted Venezuelan oil supplies
The price of a barrel of oil has jumped by more than 4% over fears a
strike in Venezuela, the world's fifth largest oil exporter, will cut global
supplies.
Protests
by Venezuelan opposition groups aimed at ousting President Hugo Chavez have
entered a third week.
Should the position in Venezuela continue to deteriorate, then a
push to well above $30 becomes inevitable 
Paul
Horsnell JP Morgan |
Supply fears have been compounded by US and British threats to attack
Iraq, which could disrupt production Middle East.
Brent
crude, the benchmark oil price, gained $1.09 to $28.30 a barrel in late trade
in London, its highest level since 16 October.
US oil
futures jumped $1.68 to $30.12 a barrel.
Opec
cuts
"Up to
this point, the market seems to have been far too relaxed about the loss of so
much crude oil at a time when inventories are already well below prudent
levels," said Paul Horsnell of investment bank JP Morgan.
"Should
the position in Venezuela continue to deteriorate, then a push to well above
$30 becomes inevitable," he added.
Fears over
supplies were compounded last week when the oil cartel OPEC lowered production
quotas.
The
Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, of which Venezuela is a
member, controls two-thirds of world supply.
Venezuelan strike
Venezuela's oil industry has been severely affected, with oil
refinery managers and oil tanker captains joining a strike led by right-wing
business groups.
More than
40 oil tankers were anchored off Venezuelan ports waiting to take on oil
shipments, shipping agents said.
More than
half a million protesters took to the streets of the capital Caracas over the
weekend to call for the leftist leader's resignation and early
elections.
Venezuela
supplies about 14% of US oil needs.
Arab
producers have promised to fill any shortfall, but supplies would take more
than a month to arrive.
.
BBC --
Monday, 16 December, 2002, 06:23
GMT
.
European press review
.

The impact of the European Union summit
agreement to admit 10 new members continues to exercise leader-writers on both
sides of Europe's old dividing-line.
Meanwhile, in France, newspapers look at the country's increasing
military involvement in the Ivory Coast conflict and at President Jacques
Chirac's apparent escape from investigation over corruption
scandals. High EU price
Newspapers in Hungary are unenthusiastic about the price their
country paid to secure accession to the EU.
"The
Copenhagen summit showed that the EU is guided not by fine principles but by
hard financial interests, and that those who can blackmail others are not
prepared to give a cent in concessions," Magyar Nemzet comments in a
piece headlined "The lost victory in Copenhagen".
Even
where the agreement is welcomed, as in Nepszabadsag, regret is expressed
at the "bitter taste" left by the "unfair" terms that the EU offered its new
entrants.
Europe is a society of
peoples who have forged common values over many centuries - Turkey does not
belong to this Europe
 |
|
Frankfurter Allgemeine
Zeitung |
A
commentator writing in the Czech Mlada Fronta Dnes contrasts reactions
to the agreement and wonders why Prime Minister Vladimir Spidla did not follow
the example of his Central European counterparts in loudly celebrating the
accession deal.
"Are
Czechs unable to rejoice, or are they unable to evaluate what happened at the
EU summit?", Viliam Buchert asks.
"They
talk only about money while other countries have taken it entirely
differently," he comments.
Moving
west, newspapers in Germany find plenty to worry about
post-Copenhagen.
The
leftist Die Tageszeitung and the conservative Frankfurter Allgemeine
Zeitung fret about topics close to their respective hearts - the
environment and Turkey.
The
taz laments the farm subsidies granted to Poland and others, which it
fears will delay reform of the Common Agricultural Policy, and the summit's
failure to give Austria legally-binding safety guarantees about the Czech
Republic's controversial Temelin nuclear plant.
The
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung does not mince its words in declaring
that to include Turkey in any subsequent EU enlargement would be a
mistake.
"Europe
is a society of peoples who have forged common values over many centuries and
have freely joined together under the perception of these values being under
threat," it says.
"Turkey
does not belong to this Europe."
Other
German dailies consider the EU's next steps.
The
Frankfurter Rundschau thinks the EU must now work to match its new size
with political might.
"What
remains is to find those who will seize this opportunity courageously - even at
the cost of future membership rounds having to wait," it says.
The
Sueddeutsche Zeitung sees an even more urgent need for an EU
constitution.
Without
a redefinition of Europe's internal workings, the paper says, "this mega-union
will be its own downfall, with Brussels becoming ungovernable and the victim of
the success of Copenhagen".
Ivory Coast
entanglement
In
France, Le Figaro voices concern as the government rushes Foreign Legion
paratroopers into Ivory Coast with orders to shoot anybody breaching the
cease-fire.
The
paper warns that the move is a "dangerous gamble", because "loyalists think
France has taken sides with them" while the rebels "doubt France's neutrality
and say they are ready to take on the French troops".
Still in
France, the left-of-centre Le Monde tries to take some comfort from last
week's ruling by a panel of "wise men" that President Jacques Chirac cannot be
investigated over alleged corruption allegations until after he leaves
office.
The
Avril Commission's findings have been seen as granting Mr Chirac continued
legal protection, but Le Monde says the ruling provides for legal action
once his term is over.
Mr
Chirac "has a date with the judicial authorities" once he ceases to be
president, it says, urging him to "make a clear commitment to have the Avril
Commission's recommendations implemented".
The
European press review is compiled by BBC Monitoring from internet
editions of the main European newspapers and some early printed
editions.
.
Tuesday,
17 December, 2002, 00:42
GMT
.
Psychiatrists' decisions 'driven by fear'
.
Are all
prescriptions in the patient's best interest?
Fear of being sued or pilloried in the media is forcing many
psychiatrists to take the safe treatment option - even if it is not necessarily
the best for the patient.
A
study has found that three out of four psychiatrists practised so-called
defensive medicine in the month prior to being questioned.
All of medicine has been quite profoundly affected by the need to be
aware of the risk of litigation 
Dr
Julian Beezhold |
The findings follow research published last month that showed the
number of men compulsorily detained under the Mental Health Act rose by 40%
over the last decade.
Perhaps unsurprisingly it was junior doctors who were most likely to
be over-cautious.
But
some psychiatrists admitted that previous experience of complaints had left
them determined to avoid legal action or criticism from the
media.
Defensive medicine is the practice of opting for treatments, tests
and procedures with the primary intention of protecting the doctor from
criticism, rather than diagnosing or treating the patient.
Recent action
Researchers received completed questionnaires from 96 psychiatrists
practising in the north of England. These included consultants, non-consultant
grades and trainees.
Of
these 71 had taken defensive action within the past month. Twenty-one percent
had admitted patients overcautiously and 29% had placed patients on higher
levels of observations.
The
researchers, from the Learning Disability Service in Stockton and the
University of East Anglia, warned the results suggested defensive medicine was
even more likely in other branches of medicine, as psychiatry is regarded as a
low risk specialty.
They
argue that better and more structured training might reduce the high level of
defensive practice.
They
also call for reform of the way complaints are dealt with. Apportioning blame
is often not as important as learning from past experience, they
say.
Profound impact
Dr
Julian Beezhold, of the Royal College of Psychiatrists, said his colleagues'
decisions were prone to come under intense scrutiny, for instance during
homicide inquiries when a mentally ill patient has committed
murder.
"All
of medicine has been quite profoundly affected by the need to be aware of the
risk of litigation."
Dr
Beezhold, a specialist registrar at Addenbrooke's Hospital, Cambridge, said
defensive medicine might partly explain the rise in compulsory
detentions.
"There
is no obvious reason why that should be so, there has been no increase in the
number of people who are mentally ill," he said.
"This
is almost certainly a tangible response to the risk of
litigation.
"It is
very difficult to see individual cases where detention was not warranted, but
if you look at the overall trend once has to wonder if it is the result of the
impact of defensive medicine."
Dr
Beezhold agreed with the researchers that the introduction of a no fault system
of compensation for medical injuries would go a long way towards tackling the
problem.
The
research is published in the Postgraduate Medical
Journal.
.
BBC --
Monday, 16 December, 2002, 15:29
GMT
.
Disputes mar Iraqi opposition talks
.
The
fractious opposition is trying to reach consensus
There have been stormy scenes at the Iraqi
opposition conference being held in London to try to map out a future for Iraq
after Saddam Hussein.
Sharp disagreements have emerged among the more than 300 delegates
over the composition of a committee which could eventually provide the nucleus
of a transitional government.
|
|
 |
Main groups at
conference:
-
Iraqi National
Congress (INC)
-
Iraqi National
Accord (INA)
-
Supreme Council
for the Islamic Revolution of Iraq (Sciri)
-
Kurdistan
Democratic Party (KDP)
-
Patriotic Union
of Kurdistan (PUK)
-
Movement for
Constitutional Monarchy (CMM)
|
 |
The groups have extended their talks into an unscheduled fourth day,
as they struggle to find consensus on a future path for
Iraq.
At one point, US President George W Bush's envoy, Zalmay Khalilzad,
stormed out of the heated meeting.
The BBC's Jim Muir at the conference says nobody expected this to be
an easy gathering, so the vocal exchanges and angry walkouts came as no
surprise.
Participants finally agreed that the follow-up committee on
opposition policy - initially panned to have 20 members - will include 50, so
that all the factions can be accommodated.
But - our correspondent adds - deciding who will actually take up
those positions is turning out to be one of the sticking-points and more hours
of wrangling lie ahead over that.
'Unresolved
issues'
Another difficult issue is the constitution which the opposition
would like to see if it took power after the fall of Saddam
Hussein.
The Constitutional Monarchy Movement (CMM) wants a referendum on
whether the country should remain a republic, or restore the monarchy which was
overthrown in 1958.
US
envoy Khalilzad lost patience at one point |
Delegates said that the blueprint for the transitional period of
power in post-Saddam Iraq did now include such a provision.
However, some CMM delegates were unhappy about plans for a
three-member "sovereignty council" that would operate as a head of state during
the initial period.
Other groups who are unhappy with the current drafts are women and
tribal chieftains, who say they are being excluded from the steering
committee.
Sunni Arabs have complained that the conference is disproportionately
dominated by Shias and Kurds.
The United States has shied away from supporting the creation of a
transitional Iraqi government in exile.
But behind the scenes, US envoy Zalmay Khalilzad has been holding an
intensive series of meetings with various delegations and
leaders.
"The Iraqi people will find the US standing with them to make a
better future," he said.
Mr Khalilzad, has said he is encouraged by the way the conference is
going.
He added that the US hoped the Iraqi military would be part of the
liberation of their country.
The conference has drawn up a list of 49 Iraqi officials - starting
with Saddam Hussein and his two sons - who should face trial, after a change of
regime.
Other officials will be offered amnesties.
.
BBC -- Tuesday, 17 December, 2002, 03:06
GMT
.
Palestinian leaders welcome London talks
.
Arafat
will nominate senior Palestinian figures
Palestinian leaders have welcomed an
invitation from UK Prime Minister Tony Blair to attend talks in London next
month aimed at boosting the Middle East peace process.
Blair (right) has been holding talks with the Syrian president
(left) |
Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat has been asked to nominate senior
figures to attend the talks, aimed at reforming the Palestinian
Authority.
Chief Palestinian negotiator Saeb Erekat told Reuters news agency
that Mr Arafat had "appreciated [Mr Blair's] letter and accepted the
invitation" to invite the ministers.
But Palestinian Government minister Nabil Shaath warned that, while
Palestinians would be happy to attend the talks, they do not want the agenda to
solely deal with the issue of reform.
"We care about Britain playing a positive role...but we will want to
discuss the agenda," he told the BBC.
"We want to see how far this will put us forward in trying to regain
the peace process and to end the suffering of our people."
However he added that he was sure discussion would be "fruitful" and
ultimately worthwhile for the Palestinians.
'Quartet' meeting
The talks will run parallel to efforts by the United States, the
European Union, the United Nations and Russia to draw up a "road map" for peace
in the region and lay the groundwork for a Palestinian
state.
It is in the interests of both the Palestinians and Israelis that
these reform efforts succeed, so that we can make a reality of President Bush's
vision of two states - Israel and Palestine - living side by side in peace and
security 
British Prime Minister Tony Blair |
Representatives from this so-called quartet of mediators, together
with other countries from the region, will be invited to attend the London
conference, Mr Blair told the British Parliament.
The conference will be attended by the Mr Blair and chaired by the
Foreign Secretary Jack Straw, and Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Jordan have also been
asked to send representatives.
Israel is not expected to attend the talks, and has asked the US to
delay adoption of the so-called road map until after its general elections in
late January.
Blair's message
Mr
Blair announced the planned talks shortly after meeting Syrian President Bashar
al-Assad in London on Monday.
"It is in the interests of both the Palestinians and Israelis that
these reform efforts succeed, so that we can make a reality of President Bush's
vision of two states - Israel and Palestine - living side by side in peace and
security," he said.
BBC diplomatic correspondent Barnaby Mason says that Mr Blair's
announcement, coupled with President al-Assad's visit, is a message to the Arab
world that Britain cares as much about the Palestinians as it does about
disarming Iraq.
.
BBC -- Monday, 16 December, 2002, 10:56
GMT
.
Three Palestinians shot dead
.
Israel
has continued its policy of demolishing Palestinian homes
Three Palestinians have been shot dead by
Israeli soldiers in two separate incidents in the Gaza Strip early on
Monday.
Two members of militant Islamic group Hamas were killed as they tried
to enter Israel from the northern Gaza Strip, Palestinian sources
said.
And Israeli soldiers shot a man near the Jewish settlement of Neve
Delakim in the south of the Gaza Strip.
Palestinian sources said he was a farmer, but Israel said he had
opened fire at an army post in the settlement.
A local farmer near Beit Hanoun, where the two Hamas men were killed,
told the Associated Press news agency that a gun battle had raged for
hours.
Israeli military officials said that bombs, grenades and ammunition
were found with the men.
On Sunday, an Israeli court sentenced four Palestinians to jail terms
of at least 50 years, for planning suicide attack that left 35 people
dead.
The men had been recruited by Hamas.
Buildings destroyed
The man shot dead in the south of the Gaza Strip was identified by a
local hospital as 22-year-old Hassan Shalulah.
His family said he was a farmer and had been hit when he went out to
inspect his irrigation system on his land.
But an Israeli army spokesman said that he was one of three gunmen
who opened fire on the Neve Delakim settlement.
The mayor of Rafah, on the border with Egypt, said Israeli soldiers
demolished 16 houses overnight, leaving 100 people
homeless.
The Israeli Army said the houses were abandoned and were being used
by gunmen when targeting Israeli soldiers.
.
BBC -- Monday, 16 December, 2002, 22:37
GMT
.
Antarctic lake's secret water
.

A five-kilometre-long ice-sealed
super-concentrated saltwater lake has been discovered by scientists working in
Antarctica.
This is beyond what scientists thought a few decades ago

Dominic Hodgson, Bas |
Researchers uncovered the extreme lake, called Lake Vida, along with
2,800-year-old microbes, under 19 metres of ice.
Because the body of water has been cut off from the rest of the world
for millennia, the scientists say it could represent a previously unknown type
of ecosystem.
This might make it an important template for the search for evidence
of microbial life on other worlds, including Mars, they
argue.
Frozen lakes
It had been thought Lake Vida was one of several Antarctic lakes that
are frozen to their beds all year-round. But this new research shows
otherwise.
A team of US scientists extracted two ice cores above Lake Vida,
which lies in a cold desert region of Antarctica known as the McMurdo Dry
Valleys.
They also used ground-penetrating radar to find liquid water below
the lake's ice cap.
The water remains liquid because it is seven times saltier than
seawater and so will not freeze even at minus 10 Celsius - the temperature
below the ice cover.
The team did not drill directly into the lake for fear of
contaminating it.
Ancient DNA
Using radiocarbon dating, the scientists analysed sediments found in
the ice cores and dated them back 2,800 years.
When the sediments were thawed, the scientists discovered
micro-organisms which they successfully revived.
This suggests that despite a complete lack of light, cold
temperatures and hyper salinity, the lake itself may also contain
life.
John Priscu, from Montana Sate University, was one of the researchers
who extracted the cores.
He said: "The ice cover of these lakes represents an oasis for life
in an environment previously thought to be inhospitable.
"Importantly, the cold temperature preserves DNA extremely well
making them perfect 'ice museums' for the study of ancient
DNA."
Red Planet
This research could help scientists find out more about possible life
in Lake Vostok, the largest of over 70 sub-glacial lakes on the White
Continent, which lies more than four km beneath the East Antarctic Ice
Sheet.
Commenting on the latest findings, Dr Dominic Hodgson, an Antarctic
lakes expert from the British Antarctic Survey (Bas) in Cambridge, said the
research raised the possibility that there was life on
Mars.
He told BBC News Online: "Life can be locked up in ice for many
thousands of years and cells can survive these low temperatures, and once
conditions are right they snap out of their frozen states and start
photosynthesising again.
"This is beyond what scientists thought a few decades
ago."
Peter Doran, a co-researcher on the project from the University of
Illinois at Chicago, said: "Mars is believed to have a water-rich past, and if
life developed, a Lake Vida-type ecosystem may have been the final niche for
life on Mars before the water bodies froze solid."
The research was carried out by scientists at the University of
Illinois at Chicago, the Desert Research Institute in Reno, Nevada; Nasa's Ames
Research Center in Moffett Field, California; and Montana State University in
Bozeman.
It was published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of
Sciences.
.
BBC -- Monday, 16 December, 2002, 21:16
GMT
.
Best view of Big Bang 'echo'
.
A
clear view through the thin polar air
 |
 |
|
|
By Dr David Whitehouse BBC News Online science editor |
 |
 |
A new telescope at the South Pole has provided fresh evidence that
the Universe is accelerating outwards, and is dominated by a mysterious form of
matter.
It is compelling that we find, in the ancient history of the
Universe, evidence for the same dark energy that observations of supernovae
give evidence for more recently 
Jeffrey Peterson |
The telescope, known as an Arcminute Cosmology Bolometer Array
Receiver (Acbar), is part of the solar observatory at the US Amundsen-Scott
South Pole Station.
The telescope, looking for subtle variations in the cosmic microwave
background (CMB) radiation, has produced the most detailed images of the early
Universe ever recorded.
The CMB is radiation given off by the rapidly cooling and expanding
Universe about 400,000 years after the Big Bang.
Strange dark matter
The Amundsen-Scott South Pole Station is ideally suited for many
areas of astronomy, especially observations of the CMB, due to the lack of
interfering water vapour in the thin atmosphere above the
station.
Early Universe: The CMB is visible at weak
radio wavelengths; the colours denote temperature fluctuations
|
"Our atmosphere may be essential to life on Earth," says
co-investigator John Ruhl, "but we'd love to get rid of it. For our
observations, the South Pole is as close as you can get to space while having
your feet planted firmly on the ground."
The US National Science Foundation (NSF), who fund the research, said
the new data supported the currently favoured model of the Universe "in which
30% of all energy is in the form of strange dark matter that doesn't interact
with light."
The NSF added: "Sixty-five percent of the Universe is in an even
stranger form of dark energy that appears to be causing the expansion of the
Universe to accelerate.
"Only the remaining 5% of the energy in the Universe takes the form
of familiar matter like that which makes up planets and
stars."
The new images show the "seeds" that developed into the largest
structures seen in the Universe today.
Ancient history
"It is amazing how precisely our theories can explain the behaviour
of the Universe when we know so little about the dark matter and dark energy
that comprise 95% of it," says Acbar scientist William Holzapfel of the
University of California.
"It is compelling that we find, in the ancient history of the
Universe, evidence for the same dark energy that observations of supernovae
give evidence for more recently," says Jeffrey Peterson of Carnegie Mellon
University.
Future observations will use a new $16m telescope to be installed at
the South Pole.
"With information from that telescope we can really solve how the
Universe evolved," says John Carlstrom, a astrophysicist who planned the new
and existing South Pole telescopes.
At eight metres (26 feet) in diameter, the unique new telescope will
dwarf other telescopes and many structures at Amundsen-Scott South Pole
Station.
"If you were hiking to the South Pole, this might be the first thing
you'd see," says Carlstrom, a University of Chicago
professor.
.
BBC -- Monday, 16 December, 2002, 14:10
GMT
.
Karzai moves to rein in warlords
.
Dostum controls large parts of northern Afghanistan
The Afghan President, Hamid Karzai, has
banned political leaders from taking part in military
activity.
The move is being seen as Mr Karzai's first
major attempt to rein in the country's powerful warlords.
Karzai is struggling to enforce peace beyond Kabul
|
The decree, which comes into immediate
effect, was released as the president arrived in Oslo ahead of a conference on
Afghan reconstruction.
It says that in order to ensure affairs are
better run, no civilian or military official is allowed to work in both
political and military spheres.
Observers say dominant regional chiefs
represent the biggest challenges to Mr Karzai's rule.
Since the collapse of the Taleban last year,
regional warlords have continued to use violence to resolve ethnic and
territorial disputes.
Calling the shots
The warlords include Ismail Khan in the west,
Abdul Rashid Dostum in the north and Gul Agha in the south.
So far Mr Karzai has been powerless to impose
his authority across the country.
Ismail Khan has been battling rivals in the west
|
Mr Khan, an ethnic Tajik who controls Herat
province, has allowed his forces to engage in frequent clashes with rival
ethnic groups in his area of control, despite government attempts to mediate
peace.
In the latest outbreak earlier this month,
fighting between supporters of Mr Khan and those of Pashtun commander Amanullah
Khan left at least 11 people dead.
During the clashes a US B-52 plane dropped
bombs in the area - the first time such raid in the country in five
months.
However, the Americans say they are staying
out of factional conflict, and the air assistance was called in by US special
forces after they came under fire on the ground.
Under reconstruction
Correspondents say the decree also represents
a direct challenge to General Dostum, an Uzbek leader who controls large tracts
of Afghanistan's strategic north.
A former communist general, he is the head of
the military-backed Junbish political party.
After signing the decree President Karzai
went to Norway, where an international donors' conference is to be held on
Tuesday and Wednesday.
On Monday Mr Karzai is due to have meetings
with the Norwegian ministers for foreign affairs, defence and
aid.
Afghan officials say the conference in Oslo
will look at ways of redefining Afghanistan's needs as humanitarian relief
gives way to longer term plans for the reconstruction of the
country.
.
BBC -- Monday, 16 December,
2002, 19:54 GMT
.
Assad optimistic after Iraq talks
.
President Assad and his wife Asma meet Tony Blair
Talks between UK Prime Minister Tony Blair
and Syria's Bashar al-Assad have been described as "realistic and constructive"
by the Syrian president.
In a joint press conference, President Assad said there were
differences between the two countries, but stressed "we were in agreement on
most basic issues".
Cherie Blair greets Mrs Assad |
Mr Blair also stressed there were clear
differences in "views and emphasis" over Iraq, but he said a "process of
engagement with Syria is the right way forward".
On Iraq, President Assad stressed the importance of the United
Nations resolutions.
He also denied supporting terrorism, saying alleged Palestinian
terror groups based in Syria were "press offices" which were simply speaking up
for the Palestinian people.
He said Syria was a country with a long history of fighting terrorism
and "we put our experience at the disposal of any country who seriously wants
to fight terrorism".
On Iraq, Mr Blair said he believed Baghdad had so far shown "good
co-operation with the UN weapons inspectors and expressed his hope that war
could be avoided".
He emphasised that Syria, like Britain, had backed the latest UN
security council resolution on weapons inspections.
"What this means is to give the inspectors the opportunity to do
their job properly," he said.
"I don't think it is our job to expect, or not to expect, but I am
optimistic now."
Weapons inspectors
Mr Blair refused to be drawn on reports that the government believed
that Iraq had failed to make a full declaration of its weapons of mass
destruction in its dossier presented to the UN on 7
December.
"Our position on the report is that we simply have to study it. We
have not completed our study yet," he said.
He said also the government would want to see the report of the chief
UN weapons inspector Hans Blix before reaching any
conclusions.
Mr Blair later told MPs he would invite Palestinian leaders to London
in January as part of an effort to support Palestinian reforms and move the
Middle East peace process forward.
Extremists
President Assad's meeting in Downing Street is the first time a
Syrian leader has paid an official visit to the UK.
On Tuesday, Mr Assad is due to visit the Queen in Buckingham
Palace.
Writing in Monday's Financial Times, Mr Blair said that Syria's vote
in favour of UN Resolution 1441 on disarming Iraq was a sign of the success of
dialogue with President Assad.
But he cautioned that Britain remained concerned about the continuing
presence in Damascus of extremist Palestinian groups.
"I believe you cannot be anything other than 100% against terror and
will say so today," said Mr Blair.
'Disappointing'
The UK and Syria hold diametrically-opposed views on possible
military action against Iraq, with President Assad warning the UK not to join a
US-led war against Iraq, arguing it would simply create "fertile soil" for
terrorism.
Syria backed the latest UN resolution on Iraq
|
UK Government officials have described as "very disappointing" Iraq's
dossier on its weapons programme, presented to the UN a week
ago.
Sources quoted by the Financial Times said that the dossier failed to
account for chemical and biological material which was missing when UN
inspectors were last in Baghdad four years ago.
Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein "has missed an important opportunity",
the sources said.
Peace process
The last meeting between Mr Blair and Mr Assad, in Damascus last
year, was remembered for the frosty atmosphere at their joint news
conference.
Mr Blair says another issue he will raise is Syria's trade links with
Saddam Hussein's regime.
Middle East analyst Rime Allaf told the BBC that the UK had done well
to keep dialogue open with Syria, despite the last meeting between the two
leaders.
"But what did happen behind closed doors is that there are a lot of
points in common between Syria and Britain about the Middle East which are
points of view that differ from the US."
.
BBC -- Tuesday, 17 December, 2002, 02:33
GMT
.
Britain rejects 'war plan' report
.
US forces are on exercise in Kuwait, near Iraq
The Ministry of Defence has said diplomatic
efforts are still being pursued on Iraq and denied reports it was asking
defence firms to speed up production of military equipment in readiness for
war.
The Sun newspaper claims a huge force of 300,000 Allied troops is to
be sent to topple Saddam Hussein and that the MoD had begun the build-up for
war.
The paper said the ministry was issuing Urgent Operational
Requirement notices to defence equipment manufacturers and hiring a fleet of
cargo ships to transport military equipment to the Gulf.
But an MoD spokeswoman said: "This is purely speculative. Military
action is neither imminent nor inevitable and the diplomatic route is still
being pursued."
Earlier on Monday, US Secretary of State Colin Powell said there were
"problems" with Iraq's weapons declaration.
The White House has warned the dossier, which was submitted on 7
December, had been Iraq's last chance to come clean about its weapons
programmes.
'Iraqi democracy'
UK Prime Minister Tony Blair refused to be drawn on this and said the
British Government would await a full report from UN
inspectors.
In London, Iraqi opposition leaders continued discussions about the
political future of a post-Saddam Iraq.
Iraqi politicians are preparing a post-Saddam
future |
They said it would become a democratic and
federal state should Saddam fall, with no weapons and no threat to Middle East
peace.
Hundreds of delegates from Iraqi religious, ethnic and political
groups briefed journalists after the third day of talks.
They finalised two documents likely to be adopted as the policy of
Iraqi opposition.
One is a political statement, while the other is a paper on the
creation of a post-Saddam transitional period.
Jeopardy
The conference, which had been due to finish earlier on Monday, was
extended another day to allow for further discussions.
Dr Hamid Al-Bayati of the Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in
Iraq (SCIRI), said: "All members of the conference are determined to make this
succeed, otherwise in effect, the credibility of the opposition of its
constituent members would be in jeopardy and also everyone who supported us
would feel bad about it.
"There is a very strong determination that we want to come out with a
working structure for the opposition."
A follow-up committee is being set up to help the transition from
dictatorship to democracy.
The list of 50 members representing all sections of the opposition
will be revealed on Tuesday.
.
Blair Invites Palestinians to Britain to Revive Peace
Process
. Michael Drudge London 16
Dec 2002, 19:28 UTC

.
British Prime Minister Tony Blair is
inviting Palestinian leaders to London in January for talks on reviving the
Middle East peace process.
Mr. Blair told parliament Monday
he wants the talks to focus on Palestinian political reforms and ways of
getting the Middle East peace negotiations back on track.
He did not identify the Palestinian
officials who will be invited to the London conference, and there is no
indication that Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat will
attend.
Mr. Blair s | |