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COMMENTARY -- WAR -- (the news is directly below):
You have gone back in time and are standing in the midst of a lush
ancient forest. You hear and see some large vegetarian dinosaurs feeding on the
moist soft leaves of brush and trees. You also see skulking about like a cat
after a mouse, other smaller dinosaurs with a lighter build about them trying
to catch and eat even smaller dinosaurs. You also see small dinosaurs feeding
on the vegetation. Suddenly you hear a loud screech which terrifies every
creature in this setting and sends them running for fear. The screech is coming
from a large version of the lighter built and fast moving dinosaur with teeth
designed to rip and tear other animal flesh. It quickly moves up on the large
vegetarian. It lacks the weight of the vegetarian it is pursuing but has more
speed and agility. It's massive and powerful jaws are set into motion as it
lunges upon the vegetarian and immediately draws blood as it rips and tears
away at a vital spot. The vegetarian tries to defend itself by using its heavy
tail to whack the aggressor but it was too slow this time in defending itself
and it quickly weakened because of pain and loss of blood. Dizzy and in
weakness it dropped to the ground and took its last breath. The aggressor
ruthlessly tore away at the most tasty spots and then left the carcass for
scavengers.
In the natural world this story describes the "food chain" and the
"predatory" character of those creatures at the top of the food chain. The
predatory behavior is driven by hunger and the instinct of the predator to feed
and care for it's young. Although all animals have some kind of reasoning
capability their instincts most often prevail and their reasoning is
subordinate to these instincts to make them more effective at surviving.
How does this story relate to war? Is war wrong? Is war necessary?
What is accomplished by war?
Mankind is to be above the animals, that is he should be
exercising his reasoning capabilities over his instincts. But mankind often
does not do that. Tribal behavior is something like wolf pack behavior. There
is a kind of civilized order within the pack but anything outside the pack is
considered fair game. There is usually a pack leader. In many ways, the
societies and cultures and communities of mankind are like the pack where the
reasoning capabilities of the individuals in the pack and the consensus of the
pack is directed at serving the primitive instincts of survival.
Although man is more technically capable as he sits atop the food
chain, many of the nations, societies, cultures, and communities of man are
more predatory in character with leaders that know how to control the pack and
maintain their control over the pack. If allowed, these predatory packs of
mankind will act just like the predatory dinosaur. No amount of talk or
reasoning will prevent the attack because the overall social behavior is
predatory and reason is used to make the predatory behavior more successful.
The only defense against such predators is to be both prepared and more capable
if attacked. But often a defensive posture will fail as it did with the
vegetarian dinosaur which was no threat to the other dinosaurs. Many animal
packs that are agrarian adopt defensive and preventative postures as a pack to
minimize any predatory attack on members within the agrarian pack. Buffalo,
cattle, and many other animals do this.
But only mankind has two things the animals don't have. Man is
smart enough to anticipate a predatory attack and respond in a defensive
manoeuvre of defense to disable or kill the predatory enemy before the
"screech" of death is heard. Man has the means and abilities to develop
sophisticate weaponry. Compare this weaponry to the teeth of the attacking
dinosaur and the tail of the vegetarian dinosaur.
But if a society or community of man is not aware of such dangers
by other predatory type societies and communities then it peacefully and
obliviously eats, drinks, sleeps, reproduces, plays, and in other ways occupies
itself. When the "screech" of impending death is heard it may be too late. This
is especially true if the predatory society has technological superiority and
readiness to use that technology in an aggressive manner. This susceptibility
scenario is also true if a society or community of man has been deceived into
thinking that the predators are their friends or that arbitration, deals, and
discourse will stop the aggression. Nothing will stop the predatory nation or
community from its behavior other than its own destruction. A predator is
ruthless and uncaring whether it be a dinosaur, a wolf, or man. The "whimper"
(or dialog to prevent aggression) that precedes death is understood by the
predator as victory and the prey can be savaged. There are those that feel that
a kind of social remedial exercise involving discourse, and various other forms
of reward and penalty administered against the predatory society, by some
powerful majority, will cause such predatory communities to change. This is
foolishness as long as the pack leader remains leader. The leaders drive
the communities. This is true even in western democratic nations. Sometimes
leaders reflect the views of the community that elected them and perhaps
leaders exploit the community that elected them. When leaders have control of
the key social institutions they can use these institutions to brain wash the
community as a whole. If leaders don't have control of the key social
institutions then new potential pack leaders can use these institutions to
brain wash the community and thereafter supplant the pack leader. For example,
often the educational institutions are infiltrated with authority figures that
have a profound influence on those they teach. So it is not unusual in just
about every society to see social discontent first voiced by universities and
institutions of higher learning. The so called media in the form of newspapers,
magazines, radio and TV industry, the publishing industry, and the movie
industry are powerful means of brainwashing a society and re-engineering the
"average" social mentality. A third category is the religious institutions,
seminaries, and related organizations. Whoever controls the content of these
institutions inevitably controls the pack mentality. Laws and government are
derived from this mentality. As the mentality changes so also do the laws and
inclinations of government.
As long as the average human being allows himself or herself to be
herded along in a pack type social environment there will be predatory
societies that feed on the other societies. They will skulk about and wait for
their moment. They will form unholy and wicked alliances with each other only
to eventually turn on one another. War in this context simply realigns those at
the top of the food chain. War is for the purpose of establishing different
leaders, it rarely occurs for the purpose of true peace and prosperity directed
from a global perspective. Although the word peace is used a lot today its
meaning varies depending upon who uses it. Peace as used by world leaders means
the establishment of their objectives at the cost of their opponents. World
leaders shake each others hands in such deceptive gestures of peace. It is a
paradox. It is a horrible dilemma. If any society disarms, adopts arbitration
and dialog to effect change then they will be perceived as manipulatable
through that dialog. They will also be perceived by the potential aggressor as
weak because they rely too heavily on a so called diplomatic solution to
disputes. Meanwhile the predatory society or societies will take whatever gain
they can through the dialog and when their moment comes, lunge, and with their
mighty jaws and sharp teeth rip and tear away at the vulnerabilities of their
prey.
Therefore, God must manipulate the devil who influences man
towards predatory behavior. The devil incarnate is Anti-Christ. The Anti-Christ
or Satan is any human being that uses their reasoning capabilities to serve
their primitive instincts. By so doing they have opened up and turned over
their mental "real estate" to the spiritual forces of darkness that bring only
death. The spiritual force of evil is only able to influence the human mind
through the mechanism of our primitive instincts for survival. If we lust and
are preoccupied with the things and values of a world driven by such instincts
then we have been deceived into a form of mental slavery that brings only
hatred and death in its wake.
Jesus Christ is the answer. He is both an example of what we must
be like as humans and he is the facilitator/mediator/interface whereby we can
all know and experience the love/caring of God.
If you have any comments, questions, or concerns you can email
this ministry at thilts@help-for-you.com
Visit the... Overcomer on line Study Bible
OOLSB articles
are now being added - Click on::
http://www.help-for-you.com/doc/OOLSB_freestanding.html
.
. . . Day by Day with VOA ..
. BBC --
Wednesday, 11 December, 2002, 02:29 GMT .
In pictures: US
anti-war protests
.
Opponents to possible military action against Iraq have held a day of
protests across the United States.
Organisers
planned marches and rallies in about 100 towns and cities, to mark
International Human Rights Day.
A few pacifists braved the cold in Washington, including 97-year-old
Louise Franklin-Ramirez
The demonstrators represented religious, human rights, and women's
groups - among other public causes
Protesters gathered outside National Guard recruiting station - some
were forcibly removed
In Hollywood, many actors - including Mash actor Mike Farrell -
delivered a petition against any attack on Iraq
In Chicago, about 20 anti-war protesters were
arrested Nothing in this page yet. Check the
current VOA web page. . BBC -- RERUN -- Wednesday, 7 August, 2002, 10:27 GMT
11:27 UK .
Profile: Alvaro
Uribe Velez
.
The Colombian civil war
topped the presidential agenda
 |
 |
|
|
By Jeremy
McDermott BBC correspondent in
Bogota |
 |
 |
With his
landslide victory in the May elections, Alvaro Uribe Velez became the first
presidential candidate to win outright in the first round in a Colombian
election.
Mr Uribe climbed
to the top of the polls with his talk of getting tough with the Marxist
guerrillas and their 38-year war on the state, which has reached unprecedented
levels of intensity.
But this message
does not sit well with the rebels of the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia
(FARC), which have put a large contract out on his life and have tried to
assassinate him three times in the last six months.
Uribe has
avoided death three times |
In April,
the guerrillas placed a bomb in a bus along the route Mr Uribe's campaign
convoy was using in the Caribbean city of Barranquilla.
The bomb went off
but the armour of Mr Uribe's vehicle saved him from harm. Sixteen passers-by
were not so lucky. Three were killed and 13 wounded in the
blast.
But Mr Uribe's
relations with the FARC go back a long way, to 1983 when they gunned down his
father in the family ranch in Antioquia.
"I hold no
bitterness", he said before the elections, a small army of security guards
crowding the hotel suite he occupied in the capital, and security ring thrown
around the building. "I just want to serve Colombia."
And it is no small
irony that it is the FARC that got Mr Uribe elected.
As the three-year
peace process with the FARC broke down in February and guerrilla attacks
increased, his popularity soared.
Three were
killed in April's assassination attempt |
President Pastrana
tried the peaceful route and that only led to record levels of kidnapping,
violence and extortion. The Colombians want to give war a
chance.
"We gave the
guerrillas a chance to negotiate, and they refused it," said Cristina Jimenez,
27, a teacher in Medellin, the heartland of Uribe support. "Let's see if they
change their minds with a gun pressed to the heads."
The bespectacled
49-year old, a lawyer by training, a professional politician by instinct,
obtained over 20 percentage points more than his nearest rival, the Liberal
Party candidate and former Interior Minister, Horacio
Serpa.
Mr Uribe's
physical appearance, a slight bookish-looking man, educated at Oxford and
Harvard, contrasts with his right-wing message and his political
history.
President Pastrana tried the
peaceful route and that only led to record levels of kidnapping, violence and
extortion - the Colombians want to give war a chance.
 |
|
His
political opponents have plenty of ammunition against him, but none has hit the
target with the electorate.
They have tried to
paint him as the candidate of the right-wing paramilitaries that were
responsible for killing more than 1,000 unarmed people last year through their
policy of massacres and assassinations of suspected guerrillas, trade
unionists, left-wing intellectuals, human rights workers and
journalists.
Most of the raw
material for such accusations comes from Mr Uribe's term as governor of his
home province of Antioquia from 1995-1998.
During this time
he set up a network of rural security co-operatives, known as Convivirs. At
least two of these later became fronts for the
paramilitaries.
Pastrana's
initiatives have not worked |
Not only is
Mr Uribe unapologetic, but plans to create a national militia of some one
million citizens to help bring state presence to the half of the country under
the control of the warring factions.
During his period
as governor of Antioquia the FARC suffered one of their worst ever
reverses.
Under a combined
military paramilitary onslaught they were driven out of the rich banana-growing
region of Uraba and they have been trying to get back ever
since.
There is little
doubt the paramilitaries support Mr Uribe's candidacy, but they would support
anyone with his message of a get-tough policy against their hated enemies the
Marxist guerrillas, and there is no evidence that the hard-line candidate has
any links with them.
There has been the
smear of drugs trafficking laid at his door, and there is evidence that some of
his friends have been involved in this shady world, but nothing has ever stuck
to him.
And he has pledged
to get tough with all the propagators of illegal violence in Colombia, the
guerrillas, the paramilitaries, the drugs traffickers and common
criminals.
"The main proposal
is security with democracy. Security for all Colombians," he
said.
Colombians
lament the rise in violence |
What he
lacks in a sense of humour, he compensates with intensity. "I will protect all
Colombians regardless of whether the attacks come from guerrillas or
paramilitaries."
It would be wrong
to label Mr Uribe a one-track album. His manifesto is complete and complex,
revealing a lawyer's relish for detail. And his administrative ability has been
proven as mayor of Medellin and governor of Antioquia.
But the shadow of
Colombia's extreme and bloody right-wing waits to bask in his glory. And one
thing is certain, Colombia faces yet more bloodshed, and the civil conflict is
certain to enter its fifth decade.
The Colombian
military has proven itself unable to react to, let alone contain the spreading
violence.
It was the FARC,
through their endorsement of current president, Andres Pastrana, and his peace
proposals that secured that president's election.
It seems with
their unrelenting attacks and atrocities they did the same for Mr
Uribe.
.
BBC --
Wednesday, 11 December, 2002, 17:43
GMT
.
US missile test
fails
.
Earlier tests have had
mixed success
The Pentagon has announced the failure of its latest test of an
interceptor missile - part of President George W Bush's missile defence
programme.
The defensive
missile - supposed to hit an oncoming long-range enemy missile - did not
separate from its booster rocket, the Pentagon said in a
statement.
We do not have an
intercept
 |
|
Rick Lehner, Air Force
Lieutenant |
Air Force
Lieutenant Colonel Rick Lehner said it was "frustrating and disappointing" that
the test had failed as a result of a glitch that had little to do with advanced
missile technology.
This was the
third missile test to fail of a total of eight carried out so
far.
In June, the
United States withdrew from the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty it signed
with the former Soviet Union, seeing it as constraining its ability to test new
anti-missile defences.
Despite
international criticism, Washington has insisted on developing the programme to
defend against incoming missiles from what it calls "rogue
states".
Second
case
In Wednesday's
test, a Minuteman II intercontinental ballistic missile carrying the dummy
enemy missile was launched from Vandenberg Air Force Base in California at 0826
GMT, the statement said.
About 20 minutes
later, the rocket carrying the defensive missile was launched about 7,725
kilometres (4,800 miles) away from Kwajalein Atoll in the Republic of the
Marshall Islands.
But the $100m
missile failed to disengage from the booster. A similar fault occurred in July
2000.
The missile
shield is in the planning stage |
"We do not
have an intercept," said Colonel Lehner of the Pentagon's Missile Defense
Agency.
The Pentagon
statement said two new rocket designs were being developed and would be tested
next year.
In June, the US
started work on the construction of a test site for the missile defence
system.
A set of silos
is being built in Alaska to house interceptors capable of destroying missiles
fired by "rogue states" like North Korea, Iraq or Iran.
The silos,
initially classified as test facilities, are expected to be fully operational
by 2007.
There has been
considerable scepticism that the eventual goal, of a comprehensive shield
capable of protecting the US from any missile attack, will ever be
achievable.
.
BBC --
Wednesday, 11 December, 2002, 11:37 GMT
.
Fighting
Burma's drugs trade
.
Burma's junta has
pledged drug crackdowns before
Burma's ruling generals and their Wa allies
on the country's north eastern border have pledged big cuts in opium
production, hoping to head off international criticism. Larry Jagan, the BBC's
Burma analyst, reports.
Bao Yuxiang,
the notorious drug warlord and commander of the United Wa State Army, says he
will dramatically cut production of opium poppy in areas under his control
within the next 12 months.
Bao Yuxiang
and his brothers command a 20,000-strong army |
"I have
promised to make the Wa areas drug-free by 2005 and I will," he told the BBC in
a recent interview in his home-base of Pangshang, on the border with
China.
The Wa are one
of the main poppy growers in Burma's Golden Triangle - situated in the
north-west tip of the country bordering, China, Laos and
Thailand.
UN drug
officials now estimate that most of the world's illicit heroin originates in
this inhospitable and mountainous region.
Profitable
crop
The Wa have
been involved in the drugs trade for decades, largely because of the difficulty
of growing any other cash crops, and lack of industry.
Since 1989 the
Wa have had a ceasefire agreement with the Burmese military
junta.
During much of
that time opium production has sky-rocketed.
But in the
last few years poppy cultivation has declined dramatically, say UN drug control
officials.
Mr Bao, who
along with his three brothers commands the 20,000-strong United Wa State Army
(UWSA), says that over the past two years, the Wa have begun to resist the
temptation to continue growing poppy.
UN financial
assistance has been used for crop substitution projects, including fruit trees
and tea plantations, and to set up small-scale industries like tea production
and slate manufacturing factories.
"In some areas
the Wa have reduced the amount of land under poppy cultivation by up to 80%,"
said an independent Australian researcher, Jeremy Milsome, who has just
completed several months of detailed surveys in UWSA areas.
"Last year,
overall the UWSA managed an average reduction of poppy production of more than
30%," he said.
Most
independent assessments of opium production in the Wa areas also show a major
reduction in the amount of poppy that is cultivated.
Allegations
continue
But despite
this, the Wa are still blamed by Thai army chiefs for millions of amphetamines
that flood into Thailand every year, and by Western governments like the United
States for most of the heroin on the streets of Europe and North
America.
These are
allegations which Mr Bao vigorously denies.
"It makes me
fed up and angry... I'm tired of hearing it. It's nonsense," he
said.
But the
allegations continue, and with the new growing season at its height, there is
increasing international concern about the production of opium in Burma's
Golden Triangle.
The Burmese
authorities are now insisting that poppy cultivation this season will be half
as much as last year.
"We hope to
cut opium production by 50% in the current production year [2002-3]," said the
head of Burma's drug suppression committee, police colonel Hkam
Awng.
Farmers need
help to grow cash crops instead |
"There will be
a dramatic reduction in poppy cultivation in the coming year," the Burmese
Foreign Minister Win Aung told the BBC. "You will see!"
'Too fast,
too soon'
But UN
officials are worried about the possible impact of this planned rapid decrease
in poppy cultivation.
They fear that
as a consequence, poor farmers who are dependant on growing the illicit drug
will suffer.
"A 50%
reduction is revolutionary and we should be happy with that," said the head of
the United Nations Drugs Control Programme in Rangoon, Jean-Luc
Lemahieu.
"But it's too
fast, too soon. I don't see enough income coming in for the opium poppy farmers
and I'm concerned that we'll have a humanitarian crisis on our hands as a
result."
UN officials
fear that if there are no viable substitute cash crops or income generating
schemes for the poor farmers, the result will be that they have no alternative
but to return to poppy production the following year, as happened in
Afghanistan.
And while the
Burmese authorities continue to insist they are doing all they can to reduce
opium production, the reality is that amphetamine tablets, known as crazy
medicine or ya baa, continue to flood across Burma's borders, especially into
Thailand.
Thai military
officials are warning that Thailand is facing an invasion of more than a
billion tablets next year - most of which will be produced in the Golden
Triangle.
"The precursor
chemicals needed for the manufacture of amphetamines are not produced in Burma
and are illegal here," Win Aung told the BBC.
"They come
from India, Thailand and China. More needs to be done to stop the smuggling of
these chemicals across our borders."
But as many
experts point out, the only way to effectively combat drug trafficking is to
suppress the demand for it as well as cut its
production.
.
BBC -- Wednesday, 11 December, 2002, 18:58
GMT
.
Chile
agrees trade pact with US
.
The deal should
abolish tariffs on 85% of consumer goods
Chile and the United States have agreed a free trade pact after 11
years of talks, both countries have said.
We have reached a good
agreement with the United States
 |
|
President Ricardo
Lagos |
Chile's
President Ricardo Lagos said the trade deal would "mean more jobs, more work,
more development, more growth" for the South American
country.
US Trade
Representative Robert Zoellick said the pact would abolish tariffs on 85% of
consumer and industrial goods.
Negotiators
from both countries held a marathon overnight session in Washington on Tuesday
to iron out final disagreements.
Farmers
to benefit
"At dawn
today a very important step has been accomplished," President Lagos said in the
Chilean capital, Santiago.
"We have
reached a good agreement with the United States, and Chile will have a free
trade accord with the US".
Mr Zoellick
told a press conference in Washington that the pact would bring the abolition
of 75% of Chilean tariffs on US agricultural goods within four
years.
All
agricultural tariffs between the two countries will be scrapped after 12
years.
Mr Zoellick
was flanked by Chile's foreign minister, Soledad Alvear, who led the Chilean
delegation.
The
negotiating teams reached agreements on labour, the environment, agriculture
and financial services, the Chilean newspaper La Tercera de la Hora reported on
its web site.
Praise
for Chile
Before the
pact can be signed, further talks must take place to polish the final legal
wording but these are expected to be a formality.
The
negotiations began in the early 1990s and were stepped up two years ago as part
of US attempts to create a Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA) embracing the
whole of North and South America.
Chile signed
a free trade deal with the European Union earlier this
year.
Earlier this
month, Chile was praised by Alan Greenspan, chairman of the US central bank,
for its responsible approach to economic and fiscal
policies.
The
International Monetary Fund (IMF) has also given Chile a good report for its
response to the risk of economic crisis in South America after Argentina sank
into political turmoil.
Chile is
suffering from weak economic growth: the IMF has cut its predictions for this
year to 2.6% from an earlier forecast of 3%.
.
BBC -- Wednesday, 11 December, 2002, 10:27
GMT
.
China's
heavy price for free trade
.
It took China 15
years to join the WTO
 |
 |
|
|
By
Alex Ritson BBC World Service
business reporter |
 |
 |
It is a
year since China joined the World Trade Organisation (WTO).
In that
time, foreign companies are estimated to have invested some $50bn (£32bn)
in the country in their quest for access to 1.3 billion
consumers.
But
opinions differ on how much progress has really been made towards integrating
the world's biggest population into the mainstream of international
commerce.
For China,
the success of membership of the WTO is summed up with a set of
numbers.
Reforming zeal
5,000
tariffs have been slashed.
There have
been 2,300 improvements to bureaucratic rules and
regulations.
And import
duties have been cut by an average of 25%.
China's
Foreign Trade Minister, Shi Guangsheng, says his country's efforts to overhaul
clunky state enterprises and tackle endemic local protectionism have proved
that China is a responsible new member of the WTO.
As such,
China is worthy of the respect of its peers, he says.
Counting the cost
But those
reforms have come with a heavy price.
Millions
of people working in heavy industry have lost their jobs.
Imports of
cheap foreign food have unnerved farmers and prompted a mass migration from the
countryside into China's crowded cities.
Most
investors acknowledge that China has made great progress in the area of
economic reform.
However,
many remain sceptical about the level of commitment to implement the changes at
ground level.
Frustrated foreigners
Only last
month, two foreign insurers, Japan's Dai-ichi Mutual Life and Germany's Gerling
AG, announced they were pulling out of China because of excessive
regulation.
Agriculture has turned into a major irritant for the US, which had
hoped for big sales of farm goods to China.
New rules
on genetically modified foods threaten $1bn in US soybean sales, while other
products are hampered by a secretive import quota scheme.
And
foreign banks complain they are allowed to open only one new branch a year -
which then has to operate under restrictive rules.
Caught
in a trap
The
communist government of the world's largest developing economy appears to be
caught between challenges.
It is wary
of creating instability by opening markets too quickly.
But it is
duty-bound to do so by the very organisation it campaigned so vigorously to
join.
.
BBC --
Wednesday, 11 December, 2002, 11:24
GMT
.
IMF:
Israel can cope without US aid
.
The
Palestinian uprising has cost Israel dearly
Israel could cope with its worst recession in 50 years without US
aid, the International Monetary Fund has said in its annual report on the
country.
"It is
clear that the US aid will help, particularly in containing the fiscal deficit
and stabilising the economy," IMF European Assistant Director Masahiko Takeda
said.
"But the
Finance Ministry is ready to cope with the situation without counting on US
aid," he added.
Israel's
economy has been battered by the global slowdown, hi-tech slump and a two-year
Palestinian uprising that has scared off tourists, slashed revenues and sent
defence costs soaring.
"We see
considerable risk that revenue (next year) will fall short of the budgeted
amount," the report said.
Israel
is reportedly seeking $8bn (£5.1bn) in loan guarantees and $4bn in
defence and other grants over 10 years from the US, the IMF's biggest
shareholder.
Cutting interest rates
Israel
is expected to overshoot its 3.9% budget deficit target substantially this
year.
Mr
Takeda said the government should address the causes of the deficit rather than
relying on US aid to plug the gap.
In
unusually direct advice to Israel's central bank, the Fund called on the Bank
of Israel to use "every opportunity" to cut interest rates from
9.1%.
It also
criticised what appeared to be a politically inspired 2 percentage point rate
cut last December, which it said led to a sharp depreciation of the shekel, a
surge in inflation and a threat to financial stability.
The IMF
said it was confident the government was committed to pushing through the
budget, due by 31 December, without compromising on spending
cuts.
Disagreements about funding for Jewish settlements in the West Bank
and Gaza Strip led to the dissolution of Prime Minister Ariel Sharon's
government in November.
Elections are due to be held on 28 January.
.
BBC --
Wednesday, 11 December, 2002, 06:58
GMT
.
IMF
repents over Malaysian criticism
.
The IMF
oppose Malaysia's currency peg
The International Monetary Fund has praised Malaysia's economic
performance, after a short recession last year, and admitted it was wrong to
oppose fixing the currency to the dollar.
"The
Malaysian economy has entered a recovery phase and appears to be well placed to
benefit from a global recovery," the Fund said after annual meetings in the
country.
Mahatir has plenty to smile about |
There was a broad economic recovery with unemployment below 4%,
inflation below 2% and factories running at 80% of capacity, the fund
said.
It
expects 3.5% economic growth this year - from 0.7% in 2001 - even though
private investment remains weak.
The
IMF said Malaysia's astute handling of its economy showed it was wrong to
advise against a currency peg.
"Directors commended the Malaysian authorities for pursuing a
judicious macroeconomic policy strategy that has helped them weather the impact
of the global slowdown, allayed earlier concerns of some directors about the
sustainability of the exchange rate, and laid the foundations for a positive
economic outlook," the report said.
Malaysian solution
Malaysia fixed its currency to protect it from speculators in direct
contravention of the IMF's advice during the Asian financial crisis between
1997 to 1999.
As a
result it has fared much better economically than most of its neighbours who
followed IMF policy at the time.
"Directors noted that Malaysia's strengthened fundamentals are
supportive of the exchange rate peg as a stability anchor, and that the value
of the ringgit does not appear to be misaligned," the IMF report
said.
The
ringgit is fixed at 3.8 to the US dollar.
But it
has again recommended the currency should be floated.
"While
they saw no imminent need to reconsider the peg at this time, many other
directors were of the view, however, that a carefully prepared move toward a
more flexible exchange rate regime would broaden Malaysia's options over the
medium term."
.
BBC --
Wednesday, 11 December, 2002, 06:18
GMT
.
Japanese export drive continues
.
Demand for
electronic products drives Japanese trade
Japan's current account surplus shot up 23.5%
in October, from a year earlier, spurred on by strong demand from Asia for
electronic products.
The
current account - the measure of trade in goods and services - rose to 936bn
yen ($7.6bn), the Ministry of Finance said on Wednesday, in-line with analyst's
forecasts.
Last
month there was a 438% jump in Japan's trade surplus with the rest of Asia to
339.4bn yen.
The
ministry said on Wednesday Japan's total exports in October rose 13.9% from a
year earlier, led by semiconductors, electronics goods and motor
vehicles.
The
trade surplus jumped 71.1% year-on-year, but that was largely due to falls
after last year's 11 September attacks on the US.
Economic boost
The
seventh straight rise in monthly exports, and strong preliminary figures for
November, has raised hopes Japan might be cushioned from weak demand from the
US.
The
Japanese government has also been talking down the yen to boost
exports.
Ministry officials said a rise in imports might also indicate a
recovery in the Japanese economy.
Japan reported economic expansion of 0.8% from July to September, the
third consecutive quarter of growth.
In
September the current account surplus fell 6.8%, which was blamed costly
aircraft purchases.
.
BBC -- Wednesday, 11 December, 2002, 19:04
GMT
.
Lebanese banks bail out government
.
Post-war
reconstruction has led to big debts
Lebanese banks have agreed to buy about $4bn
(£2.5bn) in interest-free government bonds in an attempt to help the
country deal with its crippling debt burden.
Lebanon's public sector has debts of about $30bn - or almost 180% of
gross domestic product - much of which was built up in the course of
development and reconstruction after the 1975-90 civil war.
Last month, Lebanon won pledges for $4bn in low-interest loans from a
number of international donors.
Prime Minister Rafiq Hariri has said that without the injection of
funds Lebanon would be forced to default next year on its debt
payments.
Without taking into account the latest moves, Lebanon was paying an
average of 13% interest on its borrowings - a level commercial lenders have
judged reflects the risk of default.
That level is expected to fall slightly, as Lebanon uses fresh funds
to retire its most costly debt.
Payments down $400m
The Lebanese central bank said banks would buy a series of two-year
euro-denominated bonds and six-month Lebanese pound treasury
bills.
"The contribution arises because they would be investing, in special
treasury bills that bear a zero interest rate, up to 10% of their deposits in
Lebanese pounds and foreign currencies," said central bank first vice-governor
Nasser al-Saidi.
"Ten per cent of that net deposit base would be approximately
$4bn."
This would reduce Lebanon's debt servicing obligations by $400m a
year, he added.
The chief of the country's banking association was reported as saying
the banks wanted to do their part to help the country's
finances.
.
BBC -- Wednesday, 11 December, 2002, 17:02
GMT
.
US Airways agrees pilot deal
.
US
Airways hopes to emerge from bankruptcy next year
US Airlines has agreed a tentative deal with
its pilots on a cost-cutting plan which could save the airline $100m
(£63m) a year.
The move is part of the airline's restructuring plan aimed at keeping
the company in business.
Last month the firm cut 2,500 jobs as part of its cost-cutting
measures.
US Airlines filed for bankruptcy protection in August, after the
airline was hit by downturn in air travel following the 11 September terrorist
attacks.
Reorganisation on track
US Airways said the pay agreement still needed to be ratified by the
Air Line Pilots' Association (ALPA) executive council.
Under the deal there would be some temporary wage cuts in return for
productivity improvements.
"Our pilot union negotiators worked with us in the interest of
identifying additional cost savings, and preserving jobs and pensions, and we
greatly appreciate their efforts," said US Airways president and chief
executive David Siegel.
The airline said it hoped the deal would lead to agreements with
other unions, and would also help it in its bid for a $1bn loan guarantee from
the Air Transportation Stabilization Board (ATSB).
The ATSB was set up to help US airlines in the wake of the 11
September attacks.
US Airways added that it still intended to put forward its
reorganisation plan on 20 December.
First of many?
US Airways, the sixth biggest airline in the United States, was the
first major US carrier to file for bankruptcy following the terror
attacks.
It lost more than $2.1bn in the past financial
year.
Under the Chapter 11 bankruptcy procedure, the company can continue
operating while it attempts to restructure its business and return to financial
health.
Last week United Airlines, the number two carrier in the US, also
filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy.
It was forced into the move after a bid to secure a $1.8bn loan
guarantee from the ATSB was rejected.
.
BBC -- Wednesday, 11 December, 2002, 14:15
GMT
.
EU in search of natural boundaries
.
Orthodox Christians were traditionally excluded from
Europe
 |
 |
|
|
By Jan Repa BBC Central and Eastern Europe
analyst |
 |
 |
Consider a photograph of upper or upper-middle class Europeans, taken
a century ago.
Strange
country, where the waiter speaks five languages, and the minister of culture
can only communicate in Polish
 |
|
Jean Paul
Sartre about Poland |
They could be Germans, or Spaniards, or Poles, or Hungarians. Or
Russians, for that matter.
They dress alike, sport the same hairstyles, and carry themselves in
a similar way.
One imagines them travelling across Europe in comfortable Pullman
trains, staying at more or less identical hotels, listening to the same kind of
music, reading similar books.
Most are deeply patriotic - even chauvinistic - but in a similar
way.
Stalin's regime in Moscow was copied across Eastern
Europe |
They discuss women's rights, socialism, international terrorism, the
latest bout of sabre-rattling between Paris and Berlin, and human rights abuses
in China.
Mail trains bring the latest editions of French, German and Swiss
newspapers to the towns of Transylvania and Eastern
Galicia.
There are electric trams and telephones. But beyond the city limits,
the countryside has barely changed since the 17th century.
Ideological divide
Half a century later, Europe has been cut in two by the "Iron
Curtain".
Joseph Stalin runs an isolationist "national-socialist" regime in
Moscow. His henchmen run similar outfits across Central and Eastern
Europe.
French philosopher Satre called Poland a "strange
country" |
Everything Western is vilified. People with education have been
killed, imprisoned, driven into exile, silenced - or are
collaborating.
Owning a shortwave radio is an offence. In London, BBC executives
wonder whether it's worth broadcasting to the region in local
languages.
The French philosopher and Communist Party member Jean-Paul Sartre
travels to Poland. "Strange country", he observes, "where the waiter speaks
five languages, and the minister of culture can only communicate in
Polish".
Shared experiences
From the Western perspective, "Europeans" share a set of historical
experiences: Roman law and civic culture; medieval Catholicism, the
Renaissance, the Protestant Reformation, the 18th century Enlightenment, and
the emergence of liberal democracy.
There have been some wobbles along the way - but even communism can
be claimed as a Western invention.
While Western Europe's post-war "social-market" system successfully
reconciles social solidarity with free enterprise, Russia - it is claimed -
oscillates between collectivist tyranny and gangster
capitalism.
On this reading of European history, the Calvinist aristocrats of
16th century Lithuania could be regarded as "Westerners" - and the gothic and
baroque architecture of Vilnius as marking a Western cultural
outpost.
Exclusion
Identity is reinforced by exclusion. Traditionally, one "excluded"
group has been the Orthodox Christians of Eastern Europe and the
Balkans.
Many regarded Central Europe as a 'no-man's land' between Germans and
Russians |
They are held to have missed out on many of Europe's formative
experiences - not least the Western habit of regarding the relationship between
rulers and the ruled as a carefully-crafted contract, legally binding on both
sides.
This has traditionally allowed Hungarians and Poles to rationalise
their political misfortunes as an heroic defence of "Western values" - and to
despise their neighbours.
Until the 19th century, Orthodox Romanians wrote their language in
the Cyrillic alphabet.
Their adoption of Latin script was part of a deliberate effort to
rebrand themselves as a Western-oriented nation.
The Czechs might assert their distinctive "Slav" identity against the
traditionally dominant Germans - but, in dealings with their eastern Slovak
neighbours, they saw themselves as purveyors of enlightened, Western, secular
values.
'No-man's land'
Until the Second World War, most Central Europeans had little
experience of Russia. Russian literature was an exotic minority
interest.
The same cannot be said for Germany. When not proclaiming a
distinctive "Germanic" tradition, Germans have tended to portray themselves as
a "bridge" between the sophisticated but decadent Latin world to the West and
the backward "Slavs" to the east.
Germany's bulk - both physical and cultural - has often led West
Europeans to regard Central Europe as a "no-man's land" between Germans and
Russians - despite the powerful influence of Italian and French culture in the
region.
Debates about European identity may appear
academic.
But as the European Union prepares to take on members from the former
Soviet bloc, some leading politicians are beginning to ask aloud, where the
EU's natural boundaries lie - and whether certain countries should be excluded
in advance.
.
BBC -- Monday, 9 December, 2002, 18:49
GMT
.
In pictures: Spain's clean-up marathon
.
Hundreds of extra Spanish soldiers have
joined the operation to clean up oil from the sunken Prestige
tanker.
Fresh fears have also emerged that more of the 60,000 tons of oil
inside the wrecked tanker may still escape, confounding hopes that the cargo
would congeal at the low temperatures, and high pressure of the sea
bed.
Some 700 soldiers were taken to the Galician
coast by sea
The reinforcements joined more than 1,000
soldiers already working round the clock
Up to 10,000 people are taking part in the
clean-up
Volunteers spent a three-day holiday weekend
removing oil sludge
Officials say the majority of slicks are
still floating off the coast of the north-western region of
Galicia
Thousands of birds have been covered in
oil
Growing anger has spilled over into sport -
here Celta de Vigos footballers wear shirts bearing a message in
Galician
.
.
BBC -- Wednesday, 11
December, 2002, 17:57 GMT
.
South Africa police seize 'ton' of explosives
.
There has been a spate of bomb attacks in the
country
South African police have arrested nine
suspected right-wing extremists and seized almost 1,000 kilograms of explosives
during a series of raids.
Police believe at least five of those detained are connected to a
series of recent bomb attacks in the country.
The
explosives... were clearly designed to kill and create mayhem
 |
|
Sally de
Beer Police spokeswoman |
They had been on the run for more than a
month, officials said.
An extreme right-wing group Boeremag, meaning Boer Force, had warned
of a new spate of attacks over the Christmas season, as part of a campaign to
bring down the ANC Government.
The five will be charged with treason and sabotage, police spokesman
Selby Mokaba was quoted as saying.
However, he did not identify them specifically as Boeremag
members.
"The explosives... were clearly designed to kill and create mayhem,"
said police spokeswoman Sally de Beer.
Three of those arrested are brothers.
Condemned
The BBC's Barnaby Phillips in Johannesburg says many Afrikaners fear
that their language, culture and economic strength are being eroded in the new
multi-racial South Africa.
But he says the vast majority have been quick to condemn this
apparent resurgence of right-wing extremism.
The extremists want to overthrow the government
|
The police did not say what type of
explosives had been seized. Firearms, assault rifles and guns were also found
in the raids.
The arrests and seizures were made near Pretoria and in Limpopo
province, in the north of the country.
One person was killed and another injured on 30 October in a bomb
attack in the black township of Soweto which police have blamed on the
Boeremag.
About 20 right-wingers have been charged this year with plotting to
overthrow the government, treason and terrorism.
Police have stepped up operations since last month, searching farms
and seizing small amounts of explosives.
Many of those arrested are former members of the South African army
or police.
.
BBC -- Wednesday, 11 December, 2002, 20:22
GMT
.
Colombian leader murder plot foiled
.
Uribe has pledged to tackle left and right-wing rebels
Colombia's President Alvaro Uribe abruptly
dropped a scheduled public appearance in the city of Medellin on Wednesday
after reports that rebels were planning to assassinate him.
Mr Uribe - who has already survived 11 attempts on his life - was
whisked away to an army base by the presidential protection
team.
At the same time, the authorities announced that they had thwarted a
devastating rebel attack on the capital, Bogota, after defusing a wave of
powerful car bombs.
We
have averted an unprecedented terror attack against Bogota
 |
|
Defence Minister Martha Lucia Ramirez |
Police said they had arrested six suspected members of the
Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) in connection with the bombing
campaign.
Mr Uribe was elected to office earlier this year promising to take a
hard line against left-wing rebels and right-wing paramilitary
groups.
Beforehand, there were several attempts on his life - the most
serious when FARC guerrillas placed a bomb in a bus on the route Mr Uribe's
convoy was taking.
In August, rebels attacked the presidential palace and congress with
mortars as Mr Uribe was being sworn in.
Remote control
Officials said the rebels had apparently planned to attack Mr Uribe
during his scheduled appearance at Medellin's Intercontinental
Hotel.
The president, who was described as appearing unruffled by the turn
of events, was flown to the base of the army's Fourth
Brigade.
A bomb on Monday exploded near a police
post |
"You must never lose your tranquillity", he told
reporters.
"But you must be prudent, since no-one is exempt from this
nonsense."
The authorities announced on Wednesday that they had averted "a major
terror attack" against Bogota.
"These five bombs could have done unimaginable damage," said Defence
Minister Martha Lucia Ramirez.
In the last two days, five car bombs said to have been packed with
250 kilograms of explosive have been defused.
Police said the vehicles were equipped with remote control systems
allowing them to be guided to targets believed to include supermarkets, bus
stops and police barracks.
Civilian victims
Alvaro Uribe's father was killed by FARC
rebels |
On Monday, a car bomb went off in a car park
at a grocery store, injuring more than 60 people.
The BBC's Jeremy McDermott says the FARC have long held a grudge
against Mr Uribe since he was governor of the troubled province of Antioquia in
the mid-1990s, accusing him of supporting right-wing death
squads.
Thousands of people - mainly civilians - are killed each year in
Colombia's long-running civil war which pits the government against the rebels
and right-wing paramilitaries.
.
BBC -- Wednesday, 11 December, 2002, 13:22
GMT
.
Pressure grows on Boston
cardinal
.
Demonstrators have been out in
force
A Boston Catholic group claiming 25,000
members is to decide on Wednesday whether to call for the resignation of
Boston's embattled Cardinal Bernard Law.
On Monday, 58 priests signed a letter asking
the cardinal to resign in what Catholic theologians are describing as a
"revolt" or "rebellion".
Cardinal Law has gone to Rome
|
Cardinal Law remains in Rome, fuelling
speculation that he is discussing the possibility of either resigning or
declaring the Boston archdiocese bankrupt in the face of some 450 lawsuits
alleging child abuse by priests.
As the temperature in Boston approached
boiling point, a Catholic diocese in neighbouring New Hampshire headed off
criminal prosecution with an historic declaration.
The diocese of Manchester, New Hampshire,
announced on Tuesday that it is granting the state sweeping oversight rights
into how it handles accusations of inappropriate behaviour by
clergy.
Criminal charges
The state's attorney general was within days
of filing criminal charges of child endangerment against the
diocese.
I
can't imagine what brought the Manchester diocese to this admission
 |
|
Canon law professor James Coriden |
Legal experts say it would have been
the first time ever that criminal charges had been brought against a Catholic
diocese, a move that a professor of church law described as
"mind-boggling".
"The possibility of criminal action against a
diocese, that's big-time stuff. I can't imagine what brought [the Manchester
diocese] to this admission," Washington Theological Union professor James
Coriden told The New York Times newspaper.
New Hampshire's Bishop John McCormack said
his diocese "fully acknowledges and accepts responsibilities for failures in
our system that contributed to the endangerment of
children".
The diocese has agreed to annual audits by
the state attorney general for the next five years and promised to report
accusations of sexual abuse to legal authorities.
Dozens accused
The state had been investigating allegations
of sexual abuse of children by more than 50 priests over a period of more than
40 years.
The settlement does not affect ongoing
lawsuits - of which there are about 80 - or the possibility of charges against
individual priests.
The Manchester diocese has so far agreed to
pay about $7.7m to settle more than 100 lawsuits.
Voice of the Faithful, a Boston lay group
working under the slogan "Keep the faith, change the church", votes on
Wednesday on whether to call for Cardinal Law to go.
It will also decide on two separate
resolutions, one asking the Pope to appoint a new bishop, and another demanding
that the US Conference of Bishops keep its promise to hold bishops
accountable.
.
BBC -- Wednesday, 11
December, 2002, 09:59 GMT
.
US warns of nuclear
response
.
The White House says no options have been ruled
out
Washington has said it is prepared to use
nuclear weapons if necessary to respond to any attack with weapons of mass
destruction (WMD) against itself or its allies.
"The United States will continue to make
clear that it reserves the right to respond with overwhelming force - including
through resort to all our options," a White House strategy document released on
Tuesday said.
The new document has been interpreted as a
warning to Iraq |
It is believed to be the first update
on America's WMD policy since 1993.
BBC Washington correspondent Ian Pannell says
that while the new document only restates existing policy, it has been widely
interpreted as a direct warning to Iraq.
US officials said only that the passage was
meant to put emphasis on the role of deterrence against such an
attack.
'Essential part of defence'
Copies of the six-page strategy document were
released to the media ahead of its official unveiling.
Called the National Strategy to Combat
Weapons of Mass Destruction, the document is to be delivered to Congress on
Wednesday.
It says the threat of overwhelming force is
an essential part of defence.
It also includes a commitment to boost
programmes aimed at containing the damage from any chemical, biological,
radiological or nuclear attack.
The document also says that some states
support terrorists and already have weapons of mass murder; it contends that
they seek even more "as tools of coercion and
intimidation".
"For them, these are not weapons of last
resort, but militarily useful weapons of choice intended to overcome our
nation's advantages in conventional forces and to deter us from responding to
aggression against our friends."
Iraqi denial
In 1991, President George Bush Senior warned
Baghdad that it would face the severest consequences if it attacked US forces
with chemical or biological weapons.
Iraq has used chemical weapons against its
own Kurdish population and is believed to have also used them in its war with
Iran.
President George W Bush has repeatedly vowed
to strip Baghdad of any weapons of mass destruction by force if Iraqi leader
Saddam Hussein does not bow to a UN disarmament ultimatum.
UN inspectors are currently in Iraq to seek
out any illegal arms held by the regime.
Iraq denies possessing banned weapons but has
been accused by America of lying.
.
BBC -- Wednesday, 11
December, 2002, 03:29 GMT
.
North Korea's Scud
missiles
.

US officials
believe that Scud missiles found on an intercepted cargo ship in the Arabian
Sea came from North Korea. BBC News Online looks at North Korea's missile
stockpile.
Expanding reach
North Korea was receiving tactical missiles
from the Soviet Union as far back as 1969, but its first Scuds reportedly came
via Egypt in 1976.
Egypt is believed to have supplied North
Korea with Scud-B missiles in return for its support against Israel in the Yom
Kippur War.
|
North Korea's missiles |
|
Scud-B: range 300 km, payload 1,000 kg
Scud-C: range 500 km, payload 7600-800 kg
Scud-D (Nodong): range 1,000-1,300 km, payload: 700-1,000
kg
Taepodong 1: range 1,500-2,000 km, payload: 1,000 kg
|
By 1984, North
Korea was building its own Scud-Bs and since then has developed two new
versions, the Scud-C and Scud-D (or Nodong), as well as a super-missile based
on Scud technology, the Taepodong 1.
North Korea is believed
to be working on modifications of the Taepodong with a range of up to 8,000
kilometres (4,971 miles).
The Scud-B, which has
been gradually phased out by the Russian military since its introduction in the
1960s, was originally intended by Soviet designers to carry nuclear or
conventional warheads.
The Scud is commonly
fired from a heavy launch vehicle. Its warhead is permanently attached to the
missile body and has a high-velocity impact.
But North Korean
designers are believed to have modified the missile to carry chemical and
bacteriological warheads.
The successful
test-firing in August 1998 of a Taepodong 1, which flew over Japan, sparked
serious concern in the West.
It is believed to be a
two-stage missile composed of different Scuds.
Proliferation
Since its first reported
use in combat during the Arab-Israeli war of 1973, the Scud has proven a
deadly, if wildly inaccurate, weapon.
It was used by both
sides during the devastating "war of the cities" in the Iran-Iraq conflict;
then by Iraq during the Gulf War, when nearly 90 missiles were fired.
The impoverished Communist state has a thriving
missile industry |
America lost 28
servicemen when one Scud hit a barracks in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia, and military
exp | |